inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 123 Excitement8.1 [251] MVPLuka Doncic (DAL): +20.6%
New Orleans Pelicans 116 Comeback4.1 [224] LVPJrue Holiday (NOP): -18.9%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luka Doncic0.210,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.210.090.110.001962%0.323-0.112100%0.02
Delon Wright0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.130.130.020.021271%0.1300.004100%0.01
Jalen Brunson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.011164%0.0700.0000%0.00
Kristaps Porzingis0.070,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.040.011757%0.143-0.07862%-0.04
Seth Curry0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.00580%0.101-0.0500%0.00
Courtney Lee0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.01844%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Justin Jackson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.01558%0.012-0.032100%0.01
Maxi Kleber-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.00650%0.001-0.03475%-0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.060.01-0.01835%-0.021-0.02425%-0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.20.200.080.10-0.02967%0.232-0.04683%0.01
Frank Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.05-0.01956%0.1000.0000%0.00
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.08-0.010.021080%0.122-0.0600%0.00
Brandon Ingram0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.060.060.08-0.020.002061%0.133-0.081100%0.00
Nicolo Melli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.03-0.00367%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.01575%0.061-0.04250%-0.05
Jahlil Okafor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
JJ Redick0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.040.01350%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.06-0.01933%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Lonzo Ball0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.14-0.14-0.04-0.10-0.011644%-0.072-0.0620%-0.04
Jrue Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.06-0.120.011131%-0.1900.004100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.53.328.515.326.63.335.5142.1
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +30.9%
DAL +3.4%
DAL +6.8%
DAL +8.3%
DAL +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALNOPNBADALNOPNBA
this game14.213.414.2117.1111.5109.6
season14.513.4115.2109.9
opponent14.214.1111.4111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.212.515.513.514.2
NOP12.515.811.613.713.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luka Doncic82800.62-0.120.730.2712-51714.812.02.8513.114.2-1.08
Maxi Kleber74710.52-0.020.550.269-21114.313.90.4413.313.5-0.21
Delon Wright70720.52-0.020.530.1911-41513.315.9-2.5612.914.5-1.58
Jalen Brunson64610.410.090.320.2943114.913.11.7413.013.9-0.95
Dorian Finney-Smith47500.340.160.190.2052313.614.7-1.1413.013.7-0.68
Seth Curry37380.250.250.01-0.019-21112.415.1-2.7415.012.52.52
Kristaps Porzingis63600.130.37-0.230.22-310-1315.412.33.1213.013.8-0.81
Tim Hardaway Jr.46450.020.48-0.470.0207-713.814.5-0.6714.712.42.32
Courtney Lee1313-0.150.65-0.800.12-916-2516.413.92.5211.613.6-2.01
Justin Jackson2930-0.170.67-0.84-0.08-310-1312.814.7-1.8714.213.01.16

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nickeil Alexander-Walker33330.15-0.650.80-0.067-142114.612.81.7612.415.0-2.65
Frank Jackson33330.15-0.650.80-0.067-142114.612.81.7612.415.0-2.65
Nicolo Melli30300.12-0.620.73-0.004-111515.112.72.4714.314.10.21
Jahlil Okafor1616-0.01-0.490.490.05-2-5315.713.02.7311.614.6-3.02
JJ Redick4648-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-5312.214.3-2.1515.013.51.55
Derrick Favors4648-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-5312.214.3-2.1515.013.51.55
Kenrich Williams4946-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.24-3-4114.012.81.2212.715.3-2.57
Josh Hart5857-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.20-5-2-314.312.22.1513.515.0-1.55
Brandon Ingram6770-0.630.13-0.75-0.30-114-1512.415.2-2.7715.112.42.67
Lonzo Ball7172-0.650.15-0.80-0.24-147-2112.814.6-1.7615.012.42.65
Jrue Holiday7172-0.650.15-0.80-0.24-147-2112.814.6-1.7615.012.42.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.1,0.2,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.46,0.25,0.07,0.23,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 112, NYK 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.39,0.16,0.01,0,090.8%
TOR 99, DAL 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.23,0.31,0.04,0.01,0,090.7%
DEN 101, DET 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0,090.5%