NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	100		Excitement	6.9 [438]		MVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): +42.7%
Boston Celtics	101		Comeback	5.8 [340]		LVP	Sam Hauser (BOS): -36.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.43	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.43	0.23	0.24	0.05	29	67%	0.44	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vezenkov	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Alex Len	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	13	48%	0.01	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.03
Kessler Edwards	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Colby Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11	0.00	-0.09	0.02	2	50%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	-0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.36	-0.09	-0.29	-0.02	15	33%	-0.15	2	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.4	0.40	0.05	0.33	-0.02	7	64%	0.40	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	10	83%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.01	0.00	16	66%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	15	45%	0.06	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Jordan Walsh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.36	-0.36	-0.23	-0.22	-0.08	18	8%	-0.36	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	20.6	14.8	27.2	2.5	28.5	123.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +38.0%

BOS +9.0%

SAC -23.9%

BOS +19.3%

BOS +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BOS	NBA	SAC	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	16.2	14.5	104.2	108.6	113.9
season	14.0	14.7		115.6	121.6
opponent	14.7	14.8		109.4	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.5	13.9	15.8	11.9	14.3
BOS	12.6	16.8	14.8	20.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Colby Jones	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.50	17	-18	35	7.8	15.3	-7.44	21.5	15.5	6.00
Harrison Barnes	57	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.53	17	-18	35	13.5	15.6	-2.18	16.4	15.7	0.72
Davion Mitchell	48	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	3	-7	15.5	13.2	2.31	16.4	15.9	0.45
Domantas Sabonis	68	67	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.48	13	-14	27	13.7	15.9	-2.24	16.0	16.6	-0.63
Keegan Murray	82	81	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.49	13	-14	27	14.1	15.9	-1.86	16.6	13.2	3.34
Alex Len	5	4	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	5	-11	23.2	13.9	9.34	16.2	16.2	0.09
Sasha Vezenkov	27	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	11	-23	15.4	13.9	1.43	17.6	15.6	2.02
De'Aaron Fox	87	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.49	2	-3	5	14.1	16.8	-2.69	16.4	13.4	3.05
Trey Lyles	35	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	13	-27	15.4	13.7	1.66	15.1	16.8	-1.71
Kessler Edwards	22	19	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.06	-17	16	-33	16.5	13.7	2.74	12.7	17.1	-4.37
Keon Ellis	37	37	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	13	-27	14.5	14.2	0.28	14.4	17.3	-2.92

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Payton Pritchard	62	66	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	-1	3	17.2	14.0	3.24	14.3	14.4	-0.13
Sam Hauser	73	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.62	-5	6	-11	15.7	17.8	-2.09	14.0	15.6	-1.68
Jayson Tatum	64	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-13	27	14.7	19.3	-4.63	15.3	12.2	3.01
Luke Kornet	32	33	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	-6	13	18.7	14.8	3.95	14.7	14.1	0.58
Svi Mykhailiuk	21	23	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	-5	11	17.4	15.8	1.58	14.1	14.4	-0.34
Al Horford	41	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	-2	5	15.0	17.1	-2.08	14.8	14.0	0.87
Xavier Tillman	36	39	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	0	1	16.8	15.8	1.05	14.6	14.2	0.37
Jrue Holiday	62	63	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	2	-3	14.9	18.7	-3.82	14.6	13.8	0.85
Kristaps Porzingis	50	52	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	1	-1	14.2	18.4	-4.16	14.5	14.2	0.34
Jordan Walsh	11	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.17	-5	6	-11	23.6	15.2	8.48	12.7	14.5	-1.83
Oshae Brissett	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.50	-17	18	-35	21.3	15.3	5.98	8.5	15.3	-6.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 81, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
CLE 98, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
WAS 111, TOR 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.77,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1	93.2%