NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	111		Excitement	4.2 [983]		MVP	Jarvis Hayes (WAS): +10.1%
Toronto Raptors	116		Comeback	1.3 [790]		LVP	Caron Butler (WAS): -6.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	-0.00	-0.01	7	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	19	56%	0.11	4	-0.06	21	81%	0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	18	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	5	67%	0.05	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.05
Andray Blatche	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.13	15	62%	-0.01	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	10	68%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.03	8	89%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	21	49%	0.05	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	65%	0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	81%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	19	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	29.4	15.4	24.6	2.5	46.2	143.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.6%

WAS -6.6%

TOR +18.0%

TOR +8.1%

TOR +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	13.2	16.4	15.4	114.4	118.4	104.5
season	14.8	15.2		107.8	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.1	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.4	14.0	15.2	10.1	13.2
TOR	17.5	17.3	17.5	13.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-20	35	7.0	15.0	-7.97	13.2	17.3	-4.04
Donell Taylor	18	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.30	10	-15	25	6.7	14.6	-7.98	10.5	17.6	-7.12
Antonio Daniels	37	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-7	9	14.3	12.4	1.87	17.3	15.7	1.57
Andray Blatche	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-5	5	16.7	12.9	3.73	14.3	16.5	-2.16
Brendan Haywood	41	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-3	1	13.4	13.0	0.35	18.0	15.2	2.79
Calvin Booth	13	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	2	-9	16.9	12.6	4.34	14.3	16.7	-2.42
Jarvis Hayes	41	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	2	-9	15.2	11.7	3.52	17.7	15.4	2.29
Gilbert Arenas	91	93	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-4	3	12.9	16.8	-3.91	16.3	16.8	-0.47
DeShawn Stevenson	42	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.04	-17	12	-29	14.9	11.8	3.11	17.8	15.2	2.64
Antawn Jamison	90	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	0	-5	12.8	18.4	-5.67	16.6	14.4	2.18
Caron Butler	84	85	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.26	-13	8	-21	13.6	10.6	2.94	16.0	18.6	-2.60

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jorge Garbajosa	50	50	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-12	29	16.7	16.0	0.62	15.1	11.1	3.99
Anthony Parker	66	68	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.28	3	2	1	16.3	16.5	-0.21	12.3	15.2	-2.86
Joey Graham	64	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	3	-1	16.2	16.6	-0.31	13.1	13.4	-0.29
T.J. Ford	65	64	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	5	-5	16.4	16.3	0.08	12.2	15.0	-2.74
Chris Bosh	77	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	9	-13	16.7	15.2	1.42	12.5	15.8	-3.32
Andrea Bargnani	46	44	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	0	5	17.3	15.5	1.79	14.7	11.9	2.73
Jose Calderon	49	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	8	-11	14.2	18.5	-4.27	12.2	14.2	-1.98
Rasho Nesterovic	34	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	0	5	18.1	15.5	2.61	14.0	12.7	1.26
Morris Peterson	37	33	0.10	0.41	-0.31	0.07	1	4	-3	16.5	16.3	0.16	14.7	12.4	2.32
Darrick Martin	2	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	6	-7	1.5	16.7	-15.17	5.0	13.3	-8.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.77,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 80, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	95.7%
SEA 83, PHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
GSW 77, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%