NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	4.6 [711]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +11.5%
San Antonio Spurs	114		Comeback	1.4 [1062]		LVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): -8.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	20	49%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Manny Harris	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	58%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Samardo Samuels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Harangody	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	58%	-0.00	2	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	7	53%	0.00	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Anthony Parker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	18	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	6	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	41%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	12	77%	0.19	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.00	8	78%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	11	58%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.01	0.07	9	68%	0.05	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.02
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	117%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.6	28.9	15.0	27.6	2.0	31.0	129.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +47.4%

SAS +8.3%

CLE -5.9%

CLE -3.2%

SAS +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAS	NBA	CLE	SAS	NBA
this game	14.3	14.9	15.6	99.0	116.3	102.8
season	15.5	15.3		99.5	109.1
opponent	15.2	15.6		101.5	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.2	15.0	15.0	14.2	14.3
SAS	13.4	15.6	15.7	15.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Harangody	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	9.2	14.6	-5.48	15.4	14.9	0.54
Manny Harris	56	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-19	22	13.3	15.6	-2.28	14.7	15.2	-0.50
Tristan Thompson	62	62	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-19	22	13.1	16.4	-3.34	15.0	14.7	0.33
Anthony Parker	65	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-15	14	14.0	14.9	-0.91	14.4	15.9	-1.58
Kyrie Irving	64	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-15	14	13.8	15.2	-1.37	14.0	16.5	-2.47
Antawn Jamison	68	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-15	14	14.0	15.0	-1.05	14.2	16.5	-2.33
Luke Walton	25	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	-2	-12	16.4	13.6	2.85	16.8	14.3	2.51
Omri Casspi	41	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-5	-6	14.7	14.1	0.59	15.8	14.3	1.51
Donald Sloan	35	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-1	-14	15.2	13.8	1.37	16.5	14.0	2.47
Samardo Samuels	37	36	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.12	-19	3	-22	16.4	13.1	3.34	14.7	15.0	-0.33
Alonzo Gee	36	36	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.17	-23	7	-30	16.0	13.3	2.69	15.2	14.7	0.51

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tiago Splitter	39	39	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-2	20	15.5	14.6	0.93	15.8	13.3	2.44
Matt Bonner	38	37	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.09	17	-1	18	15.5	14.6	0.93	15.2	13.8	1.40
Stephen Jackson	43	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	2	12	15.7	14.3	1.37	15.4	13.5	1.95
Danny Green	38	37	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	0	16	15.2	14.8	0.37	14.8	14.0	0.71
Tony Parker	43	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	5	6	15.4	14.5	0.91	14.8	13.9	0.84
Gary Neal	41	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	11	-6	15.1	14.8	0.29	15.3	13.6	1.77
Manu Ginobili	44	45	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	16	-16	14.2	15.5	-1.27	14.9	13.9	1.01
Kawhi Leonard	66	68	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	17	-18	14.7	15.4	-0.66	14.0	15.1	-1.09
DeJuan Blair	59	60	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	18	-20	14.6	15.5	-0.93	13.3	15.8	-2.44
Boris Diaw	48	50	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	15	-14	14.1	15.7	-1.57	13.2	15.5	-2.29
Patty Mills	18	18	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	14	-12	14.6	15.0	-0.46	11.2	15.0	-3.85
James Anderson	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	14.8	15.0	-0.18	10.6	14.9	-4.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 56, CHH 65	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	96.1%
PHI 89, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ATL 90, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%