NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	100		Excitement	7.9 [286]		MVP	Paul George (LAC): +18.9%
LA Clippers	102		Comeback	3.7 [200]		LVP	Michael Porter Jr. (DEN): -8.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.17	0.13	0.02	-0.02	24	67%	0.28	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.11
Reggie Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.09	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Julian Strawther	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peyton Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	2	33%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.07,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.06	0.01	13	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.08
Aaron Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02	0.04	-0.08	-0.02	10	53%	0.10	1	-0.12	14	57%	-0.06
Justin Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Christian Braun	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	9	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	18	39%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.15	-0.00	21	56%	0.25	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.05
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.18,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	11	50%	0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.09
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	69%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	9	55%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	12	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.10	-0.09	23	38%	-0.02	1	-0.06	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.4	28.3	16.4	30.5	3.3	45.3	152.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN -15.1%

LAC +26.1%

LAC +5.8%

LAC +26.2%

LAC +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	13.6	14.5	100.0	99.0	113.9
season	14.9	14.9		116.6	116.6
opponent	14.4	14.6		114.2	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.2	15.3	16.1	14.7	14.8
LAC	13.0	11.9	14.0	16.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Strawther	5	5	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.01	2	-4	6	13.4	14.9	-1.46	11.2	13.7	-2.52
Justin Holiday	18	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	3	-8	15.7	14.6	1.14	12.5	13.9	-1.38
Nikola Jokic	83	86	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.50	12	-14	26	14.4	16.8	-2.45	14.0	11.8	2.13
DeAndre Jordan	10	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	8	-18	16.3	14.6	1.68	10.2	14.0	-3.83
Christian Braun	68	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-9	16	14.9	14.5	0.38	14.3	12.1	2.22
Peyton Watson	37	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	7	-16	15.6	14.3	1.36	13.6	13.6	-0.04
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	78	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.55	9	-11	20	14.3	16.4	-2.02	13.9	12.4	1.50
Reggie Jackson	47	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	12	-26	15.3	14.4	0.88	12.6	14.5	-1.91
Aaron Gordon	74	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.48	1	-3	4	14.6	15.5	-0.91	13.8	13.0	0.83
Michael Porter Jr.	80	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.44	-3	1	-4	14.8	14.8	-0.01	13.6	13.7	-0.18

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Coffey	53	49	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.15	17	-15	32	12.7	14.5	-1.82	14.6	15.0	-0.43
James Harden	83	81	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	-2	6	13.7	13.3	0.37	14.7	15.0	-0.26
Norman Powell	76	73	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	-8	18	13.4	14.1	-0.64	14.9	14.6	0.27
Ivica Zubac	75	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.41	-5	7	-12	14.0	12.6	1.37	14.4	15.7	-1.23
Russell Westbrook	52	49	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	-6	14	13.5	13.7	-0.28	15.2	14.4	0.81
Paul George	77	76	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.48	-11	13	-24	13.9	12.6	1.32	14.4	15.9	-1.43
Mason Plumlee	28	28	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.08	7	-5	12	12.6	14.0	-1.37	15.7	14.4	1.23
P.J. Tucker	33	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	13	-24	14.3	13.3	1.08	14.9	14.8	0.10
Terance Mann	38	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	11	-20	13.9	13.4	0.46	15.1	14.6	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.87,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 84, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.78,0.69,0.85,1	93.3%
DEN 83, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1	92.0%
PHI 89, MIA 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.94,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.95,1	92.0%