NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	109		Excitement	6.3 [556]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +21.9%
New York Knicks	120		Comeback	8.7 [265]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (SAC): -8.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keegan Murray	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	14	64%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.01	26	55%	0.18	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Sasha Vezenkov	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.03	0.05	8	69%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	61%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Keon Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	79%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Colby Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	13	55%	0.06	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.03
Trey Lyles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.00	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.06	0.03	20	70%	0.29	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.05
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.09	0.01	13	68%	0.24	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.06	0.05	19	74%	0.30	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.09	0.02	7	86%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	13	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Shake Milton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mamadi Diakite	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DaQuan Jeffries	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	1	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.10
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.4	29.6	16.4	30.3	2.8	41.6	148.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +18.1%

NYK +21.8%

SAC -0.8%

NYK +9.7%

NYK +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NYK	NBA	SAC	NYK	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	14.5	113.5	127.7	113.9
season	14.0	15.6		115.6	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.8		113.0	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.0	15.5	14.7	14.8	14.5
NYK	18.9	16.5	12.5	15.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Len	22	22	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.08	9	-20	29	13.8	14.7	-0.96	16.8	15.5	1.30
Chris Duarte	12	11	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.16	8	-19	27	11.5	14.9	-3.44	16.1	15.8	0.31
Harrison Barnes	31	31	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-12	13	14.6	14.5	0.10	16.0	15.7	0.32
Kessler Edwards	5	4	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.12	5	-16	21	10.8	14.7	-3.91	14.0	15.9	-1.90
Colby Jones	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-16	21	9.2	14.7	-5.49	15.3	15.8	-0.50
JaVale McGee	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-16	21	9.2	14.7	-5.49	15.3	15.8	-0.50
Sasha Vezenkov	28	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-17	23	14.1	14.7	-0.52	16.0	15.7	0.31
Trey Lyles	56	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-8	5	14.4	14.6	-0.15	15.7	16.1	-0.40
De'Aaron Fox	80	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-4	-3	14.1	16.3	-2.16	15.6	16.7	-1.09
Davion Mitchell	47	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	4	-19	15.6	13.4	2.21	15.6	16.0	-0.41
Keegan Murray	61	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.13	-23	12	-35	15.0	13.6	1.43	15.8	15.8	-0.05
Keon Ellis	60	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.03	-21	10	-31	15.0	13.6	1.39	16.3	15.1	1.21
Domantas Sabonis	70	69	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	0.05	-25	14	-39	15.0	13.1	1.97	15.5	16.6	-1.12

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	75	76	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.10	27	-16	43	15.3	17.8	-2.47	15.1	12.1	3.04
Isaiah Hartenstein	58	58	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.13	19	-8	27	15.3	16.6	-1.28	15.2	13.4	1.85
Josh Hart	84	85	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.03	22	-11	33	15.8	16.1	-0.31	14.7	12.7	2.01
Jalen Brunson	74	76	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.06	22	-11	33	15.6	16.7	-1.18	14.9	13.1	1.78
Miles McBride	86	88	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	15	-19	15.9	15.4	0.49	13.9	21.2	-7.35
Alec Burks	15	15	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.14	9	2	7	15.9	15.8	0.06	18.2	13.8	4.37
Shake Milton	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	22.0	15.8	6.25	0.0	14.7	-14.66
Jericho Sims	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	22.0	15.8	6.25	6.5	14.7	-8.18
Mamadi Diakite	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	22.0	15.8	6.25	6.5	14.7	-8.18
DaQuan Jeffries	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	15.3	15.8	-0.50	9.2	14.7	-5.49
Mitchell Robinson	29	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	16	-21	16.0	15.7	0.31	14.2	14.6	-0.39
Bojan Bogdanovic	25	25	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.15	-13	24	-37	16.8	15.5	1.28	13.4	14.9	-1.56
Precious Achiuwa	18	19	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.16	-17	28	-45	17.8	15.3	2.49	12.6	15.0	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.17,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.24,0.36,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.47,0.43,0.63,0.83,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.62,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	92.3%
IND 92, POR 97	0.5,0.5,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.95,1	92.2%
NYK 86, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.32,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	92.1%