NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	113		Excitement	4.9 [818]		MVP	Malachi Flynn (DET): +20.8%
Atlanta Hawks	121		Comeback	1.1 [1197]		LVP	Jaden Ivey (DET): -13.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malachi Flynn	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.34	0.00	0.14	25	81%	0.31	4	-0.10	12	75%	-0.00
James Wiseman	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	5	82%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tosan Evbuomwan	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	5	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Marcus Sasser	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	13	42%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Evan Fournier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	13	41%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	15	25%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	14	80%	0.18	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	16	74%	0.23	5	-0.10	3	33%	-0.01
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	3	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bufkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.00	-0.07	21	53%	0.14	5	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bruno Fernando	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	15	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	25.2	15.4	24.5	2.4	33.4	127.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +50.8%

DET -12.3%

ATL +12.5%

DET -3.0%

ATL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	13.7	13.9	14.5	109.7	115.2	113.9
season	14.2	14.2		108.4	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.3		118.0	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.1	13.8	16.1	12.4	13.7
ATL	12.2	13.8	16.6	13.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Wiseman	40	42	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.34	17	-25	42	13.2	14.1	-0.85	16.8	12.0	4.82
Chimezie Metu	61	63	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.49	20	-28	48	12.1	16.1	-4.04	14.5	13.0	1.49
Evan Fournier	31	35	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.17	8	-16	24	13.4	13.9	-0.47	14.8	13.5	1.24
Malachi Flynn	71	74	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.42	14	-22	36	12.9	15.6	-2.68	15.0	11.4	3.58
Jaden Ivey	59	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	4	-16	14.0	13.4	0.63	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Troy Brown Jr.	52	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.15	-23	15	-38	14.9	12.6	2.26	13.3	14.5	-1.22
Marcus Sasser	71	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.02	-20	12	-32	14.6	11.9	2.67	12.8	16.3	-3.48
Tosan Evbuomwan	67	66	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.07	-19	11	-30	14.3	12.7	1.58	13.6	14.6	-1.03
Jalen Duren	63	63	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.07	-25	17	-42	14.1	13.2	0.85	12.0	16.8	-4.82

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	68	69	0.74	-0.24	0.97	-0.14	30	-22	52	12.6	16.4	-3.76	13.9	13.4	0.50
Dejounte Murray	80	77	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.06	20	-12	32	13.0	17.1	-4.12	14.2	12.4	1.82
De'Andre Hunter	79	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	-6	20	13.1	16.5	-3.45	13.9	13.2	0.67
Jalen Johnson	81	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-4	16	13.5	15.4	-1.91	13.5	14.8	-1.30
Bogdan Bogdanovic	72	72	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	-1	10	14.0	13.9	0.09	13.5	14.3	-0.82
Vit Krejci	40	38	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	2	4	14.5	13.6	0.94	15.4	12.8	2.57
Kobe Bufkin	25	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.21	-12	20	-32	17.1	13.0	4.12	12.4	14.2	-1.82
Garrison Mathews	43	40	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.28	-17	25	-42	15.7	12.7	3.05	12.9	14.3	-1.39
Bruno Fernando	37	34	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.41	-22	30	-52	16.4	12.6	3.76	13.4	13.9	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 74, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NOH 75, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MEM 99, NOK 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%