inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 113 Excitement4.9 [818] MVPMalachi Flynn (DET): +20.8%
Atlanta Hawks 121 Comeback1.1 [1197] LVPJaden Ivey (DET): -13.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malachi Flynn0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.210.340.000.142581%0.314-0.101275%-0.00
James Wiseman0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.010.03582%0.0600.001100%0.01
Troy Brown Jr.0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.01460%0.0500.002100%0.01
Tosan Evbuomwan0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.010.03575%0.0500.002100%-0.00
Marcus Sasser-0.010,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.02-0.011342%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Chimezie Metu-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00947%0.011-0.021100%0.02
Evan Fournier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.0650%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jalen Duren-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.001341%-0.022-0.051100%0.00
Jaden Ivey-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.13-0.02-0.011525%-0.111-0.03250%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Johnson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.170.010.031480%0.183-0.03786%0.01
De'Andre Hunter0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.040.011674%0.235-0.10333%-0.01
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.120.000.033150%0.0900.0000%0.00
Kobe Bufkin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.01-0.02856%0.0700.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.00-0.072153%0.145-0.08367%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.02955%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Bruno Fernando00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.02-0.051533%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Vit Krejci0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00450%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.31.825.215.424.52.433.4127.0
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +50.8%
DET -12.3%
ATL +12.5%
DET -3.0%
ATL +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETATLNBADETATLNBA
this game13.713.914.5109.7115.2113.9
season14.214.2108.4115.7
opponent14.314.3118.0117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.113.816.112.413.7
ATL12.213.816.613.813.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Wiseman40420.16-0.660.82-0.3417-254213.214.1-0.8516.812.04.82
Chimezie Metu61630.10-0.600.70-0.4920-284812.116.1-4.0414.513.01.49
Evan Fournier31350.06-0.560.63-0.178-162413.413.9-0.4714.813.51.24
Malachi Flynn7174-0.01-0.490.49-0.4214-223612.915.6-2.6815.011.43.58
Jaden Ivey5959-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.05-124-1614.013.40.6313.814.1-0.30
Troy Brown Jr.5252-0.520.02-0.540.15-2315-3814.912.62.2613.314.5-1.22
Marcus Sasser7171-0.610.11-0.72-0.02-2012-3214.611.92.6712.816.3-3.48
Tosan Evbuomwan6766-0.630.13-0.76-0.07-1911-3014.312.71.5813.614.6-1.03
Jalen Duren6363-0.660.16-0.820.07-2517-4214.113.20.8512.016.8-4.82

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Clint Capela68690.74-0.240.97-0.1430-225212.616.4-3.7613.913.40.50
Dejounte Murray80770.64-0.140.790.0620-123213.017.1-4.1214.212.41.82
De'Andre Hunter79780.55-0.050.610.1414-62013.116.5-3.4513.913.20.67
Jalen Johnson81810.52-0.020.540.1712-41613.515.4-1.9113.514.8-1.30
Bogdan Bogdanovic72720.380.120.250.119-11014.013.90.0913.514.3-0.82
Vit Krejci40380.260.240.020.0862414.513.60.9415.412.82.57
Kobe Bufkin2526-0.140.64-0.790.21-1220-3217.113.04.1212.414.2-1.82
Garrison Mathews4340-0.210.71-0.930.28-1725-4215.712.73.0512.914.3-1.39
Bruno Fernando3734-0.240.74-0.970.41-2230-5216.412.63.7613.413.9-0.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 74, UTA 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
NOH 75, PHX 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.2%
MEM 99, NOK 1140.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.1%