NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	74		Excitement	3.0 [1134]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +5.8%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	1.1 [932]		LVP	Bob Sura (CLE): -11.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.11	9	30%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	11	61%	0.06	4	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	38%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Reggie Geary	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	92%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mark West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Donny Marshall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	0.05	8	57%	-0.05	1	-0.00	7	71%	0.01
Antonio Lang	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bob Sura	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.16	-0.02	-0.06	4	0%	-0.08	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.06	14	73%	0.07	1	-0.01	16	75%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	8	106%	0.11	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	71%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	5	42%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Stephen Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	78%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	4	40%	0.00	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	5	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	1.5	30.9	14.8	29.2	1.7	26.2	133.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.4%

UTA +3.9%

UTA +3.7%

UTA +7.7%

CLE -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	19.5	14.8	15.6	88.1	111.9	104.4
season	17.8	15.6		102.1	110.8
opponent	16.0	16.1		102.2	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	22.4	21.1	19.0	15.7	19.5
UTA	13.6	14.8	13.2	17.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Lang	40	37	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.19	9	-29	38	17.8	20.9	-3.11	16.4	13.6	2.86
Vitaly Potapenko	38	37	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-21	22	17.4	21.1	-3.71	16.1	13.8	2.33
Shawnelle Scott	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-27	34	15.4	20.3	-4.93	19.6	13.8	5.80
Reggie Geary	26	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.30	10	-30	40	15.7	21.1	-5.45	16.6	14.1	2.57
Donny Marshall	49	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-21	22	18.7	20.6	-1.92	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Bob Sura	33	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-18	16	18.7	20.0	-1.29	14.1	15.4	-1.39
Tyrone Hill	34	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-16	12	22.3	17.5	4.82	14.8	14.8	-0.01
Terrell Brandon	40	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.29	-24	4	-28	22.1	17.1	5.01	14.5	15.1	-0.61
Danny Ferry	23	23	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	-2	-16	19.9	19.3	0.63	14.7	14.9	-0.13
Mark West	22	22	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.12	-21	1	-22	19.4	19.5	-0.06	12.5	15.7	-3.16
Bobby Phills	54	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.42	-32	12	-44	20.9	16.8	4.13	13.5	17.2	-3.63
Chris Mills	46	48	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.24	-27	7	-34	21.1	17.5	3.57	13.9	16.0	-2.09

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	52	51	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.35	33	-13	46	13.0	17.8	-4.81	20.8	17.3	3.54
Karl Malone	52	52	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.43	35	-15	50	13.2	17.5	-4.36	21.2	16.7	4.47
John Stockton	42	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.18	23	-3	26	14.7	15.0	-0.24	20.6	18.2	2.36
Bryon Russell	56	54	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.32	27	-7	34	13.7	17.1	-3.36	19.8	18.8	0.96
Greg Foster	26	26	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	4	12	15.2	14.7	0.58	19.8	19.3	0.51
Adam Keefe	44	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.25	14	6	8	13.5	16.3	-2.80	20.0	18.9	1.07
Ruben Nembhard	25	27	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.23	-7	27	-34	17.9	13.5	4.34	18.1	20.1	-1.98
Howard Eisley	42	41	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	23	-26	15.0	14.7	0.24	18.2	20.6	-2.36
Stephen Howard	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	30	-40	20.5	14.0	6.47	15.3	20.1	-4.81
Antoine Carr	35	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.35	-15	35	-50	16.9	13.3	3.57	17.4	20.9	-3.47
Chris Morris	35	36	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.27	-13	33	-46	17.2	13.2	4.01	18.0	20.6	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 88, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
LAC 104, GSW 131	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CLE 95, BOS 128	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%