NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	3.5 [1131]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BOS): +15.9%
Boston Celtics	128		Comeback	1.3 [1215]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): -13.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.10	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Andrew Harrison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	59%	0.04	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Cedi Osman	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	39%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	42%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Hood	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.05	3	87%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Collin Sexton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.02	18	38%	-0.10	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.21	0.00	0.06	15	85%	0.20	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.02	-0.03	9	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	74%	0.07	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.01	0.06	7	86%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	62%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Dozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	70%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	56%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	27.4	14.5	27.2	1.8	25.5	124.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +47.8%

CLE -8.0%

BOS +5.8%

BOS +4.5%

CLE -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	16.6	13.1	14.3	97.9	132.0	109.3
season	15.5	13.9		106.3	109.9
opponent	14.7	13.9		106.3	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.8	18.7	17.8	15.5	16.6
BOS	12.9	12.6	12.2	14.5	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Harrison	32	32	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.01	5	-38	43	16.2	16.8	-0.61	14.5	12.3	2.19
Alec Burks	53	54	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.24	-3	-30	27	16.1	17.3	-1.22	13.6	12.4	1.20
Ante Zizic	40	39	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.30	-7	-26	19	16.3	16.8	-0.47	13.5	12.8	0.71
Jordan Clarkson	44	44	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.19	-6	-27	21	16.8	16.5	0.30	13.0	13.2	-0.20
Channing Frye	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-29	25	14.4	17.0	-2.65	15.1	12.7	2.35
Larry Nance Jr.	64	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.15	-23	-10	-13	17.0	16.0	1.00	12.4	14.4	-1.99
Cedi Osman	72	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.61	-39	6	-45	16.6	16.8	-0.28	12.5	14.6	-2.12
Tristan Thompson	57	58	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.16	-26	-7	-19	16.8	16.3	0.47	12.8	13.5	-0.71
Collin Sexton	65	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.33	-32	-1	-31	17.0	16.0	0.99	13.3	12.6	0.67
Rodney Hood	44	43	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	0.22	-30	-3	-27	17.3	16.1	1.22	12.4	13.6	-1.20

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aron Baynes	47	48	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.20	28	5	23	11.9	14.1	-2.18	16.9	16.3	0.61
Kyrie Irving	57	56	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.19	26	7	19	12.6	13.7	-1.04	16.8	16.4	0.37
Marcus Smart	58	60	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.39	33	0	33	12.2	14.4	-2.17	17.2	15.6	1.63
Marcus Morris	54	54	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.18	24	9	15	12.8	13.4	-0.64	16.7	16.6	0.13
Jayson Tatum	41	42	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	21	-9	12.7	13.3	-0.57	16.5	16.8	-0.31
Gordon Hayward	49	49	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.27	16	17	-1	12.5	13.6	-1.16	17.2	16.1	1.08
Semi Ojeleye	29	30	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.31	11	22	-11	13.5	12.9	0.60	15.9	17.0	-1.10
Brad Wanamaker	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	29	-25	15.2	12.6	2.58	15.2	16.9	-1.69
Robert Williams III	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	30	-27	14.9	12.7	2.17	14.9	17.0	-2.08
PJ Dozier	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	25	-17	12.9	13.1	-0.17	15.5	16.8	-1.29
Guerschon Yabusele	30	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.07	1	32	-31	14.1	12.6	1.55	16.4	16.7	-0.33
Terry Rozier	40	40	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	36	-39	14.3	12.2	2.19	16.6	16.6	-0.05
Daniel Theis	34	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.18	2	31	-29	13.8	12.7	1.08	17.0	16.4	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, LAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
PHX 81, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CLE 74, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%