NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	91		Excitement	4.3 [991]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +17.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	105		Comeback	1.4 [870]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -12.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.19	-0.00	0.05	15	75%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Acie Law	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.15	-0.01	-0.13	13	26%	0.00	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	-0.04	19	29%	-0.09	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.02	-0.03	18	60%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.00	-0.08	12	57%	0.11	4	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	16	53%	0.10	2	-0.04	11	82%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	5	15%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	9	43%	0.00	5	-0.07	3	33%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	3.3	36.0	15.0	28.0	2.0	34.6	149.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +14.7%

LAC +11.5%

LAC +9.2%

LAC +13.3%

LAC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	13.0	15.1	15.5	87.5	104.0	105.7
season	14.8	15.4		106.6	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.2	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.7	14.3	11.8	12.0	13.0
LAC	12.4	14.0	15.4	19.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	25	23	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-19	24	13.1	12.9	0.13	18.3	14.2	4.14
Lou Amundson	26	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-15	16	12.5	13.2	-0.69	17.0	14.5	2.46
Reggie Williams	37	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-14	14	13.0	13.0	0.07	14.6	15.4	-0.84
Brandan Wright	21	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	-9	4	11.8	13.3	-1.47	13.0	15.7	-2.71
Dan Gadzuric	21	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-13	12	11.8	13.3	-1.53	14.0	15.5	-1.41
Acie Law	30	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-10	6	13.0	13.0	0.03	12.7	16.2	-3.44
Vladimir Radmanovic	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-11	8	11.7	14.1	-2.37	14.9	15.3	-0.40
David Lee	54	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	-1	-12	13.4	12.5	0.96	14.9	15.4	-0.46
Stephen Curry	54	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	13.0	13.0	-0.04	16.6	13.5	3.14
Monta Ellis	85	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	-5	-4	13.5	10.7	2.75	15.7	12.9	2.74
Dorell Wright	64	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	1	-16	13.6	12.0	1.63	14.4	16.3	-1.91
Andris Biedrins	56	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	-1	-12	13.2	12.7	0.51	14.9	15.4	-0.56

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	82	85	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-3	20	14.6	17.4	-2.80	13.4	11.2	2.17
Baron Davis	62	63	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-4	22	15.2	15.1	0.16	13.5	12.1	1.38
DeAndre Jordan	67	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-4	22	14.1	17.1	-2.97	13.3	12.3	1.00
Eric Gordon	83	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-1	16	14.4	18.4	-4.01	13.0	12.7	0.30
Ryan Gomes	71	73	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	9	-4	14.6	16.5	-1.88	13.2	12.4	0.85
Eric Bledsoe	39	41	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	8	-2	13.8	16.0	-2.16	12.3	13.4	-1.14
Jarron Collins	12	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	15	-16	18.4	14.7	3.71	11.1	13.2	-2.14
Al-Farouq Aminu	44	44	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.08	3	11	-8	16.0	14.5	1.43	12.3	13.5	-1.23
Ike Diogu	25	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	19	-24	19.1	13.8	5.28	12.3	13.2	-0.97
Randy Foye	20	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	20	-26	19.3	14.1	5.18	12.4	13.1	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, BOS 128	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
SAS 87, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
CHI 75, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%