inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 122 Excitement12.9 [9] MVPDejounte Murray (ATL): +65.0%
Atlanta Hawks 123 Comeback15.4 [49] LVPKristaps Porzingis (BOS): -15.7%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick White0.420,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.47,0.47,0.420.170.250.001196%0.533-0.111100%0.00
Jaylen Brown0.240,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.1,0.24-0.010.25-0.001753%0.333-0.0900%0.00
Sam Hauser0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.050.11-0.00667%0.1700.0000%0.00
Jayson Tatum0.150,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.06,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.1,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.150.080.06-0.012254%0.212-0.061385%0.03
Jrue Holiday0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.01-0.011159%0.0900.0000%0.00
Luke Kornet0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001100%0.0400.002100%0.01
Xavier Tillman-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Payton Pritchard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.01350%0.001-0.032100%0.01
Kristaps Porzingis-0.160,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.05-0.12-0.012047%-0.063-0.09367%-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.1,0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.2,-0.07,0.01,0.2,0.11,0.650.650.040.620.024449%0.733-0.082100%0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.16,0.16,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.460.460.060.39-0.001957%0.512-0.054100%0.04
Bruno Fernando0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.030.00386%0.0900.0010%-0.01
Trent Forrest0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.050.002100%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.01875%0.072-0.0300%0.00
Vit Krejci0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.00570%0.051-0.0300%0.00
De'Andre Hunter0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.08-0.07-0.011660%0.031-0.0130%-0.25
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.08-0.03625%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.52.527.415.324.52.427.22.616.1141.6
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.42.415.1135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +58.1%
BOS -34.2%
ATL +19.1%
ATL +10.3%
BOS -3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSATLNBABOSATLNBA
this game14.716.114.5118.4118.3113.9
season14.914.2120.7115.7
opponent14.314.7118.0109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
BOS12.713.613.919.316.414.7
ATL13.914.615.521.916.916.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Xavier Tillman17180.10-0.600.70-0.045-61113.115.0-1.8515.816.1-0.34
Luke Kornet24260.03-0.530.55-0.063-4715.014.50.5015.816.1-0.33
Kristaps Porzingis7980-0.00-0.500.500.12-43-714.714.50.2616.016.3-0.30
Sam Hauser4142-0.11-0.390.28-0.203-4714.514.8-0.3317.215.31.94
Jaylen Brown7375-0.15-0.350.19-0.398-91715.013.81.2616.614.71.90
Derrick White8082-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.473-4714.315.9-1.6115.916.5-0.62
Jrue Holiday7271-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.38-10-114.914.10.7616.116.00.04
Jayson Tatum8989-0.740.24-0.98-0.42-1110-2115.012.52.5015.917.3-1.41
Payton Pritchard4037-0.840.34-1.17-0.51-1110-2114.015.0-1.0014.916.7-1.81

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
De'Andre Hunter77760.53-0.030.570.5010116.514.91.5314.814.20.59
Dejounte Murray93920.490.010.490.403-2515.719.3-3.6014.516.3-1.81
Clint Capela64650.480.020.460.4801-116.016.1-0.0714.914.30.59
Bogdan Bogdanovic84850.440.060.390.382-1315.916.6-0.7315.112.62.48
Vit Krejci65660.310.190.130.3101-117.313.93.3715.413.32.13
Wesley Matthews49470.120.38-0.250.15-12-314.817.1-2.3113.715.4-1.68
Bruno Fernando41380.070.43-0.360.0410115.716.3-0.5814.314.9-0.59
Garrison Mathews36350.040.46-0.430.0110115.416.4-1.0713.115.5-2.43
Trent Forrest11110.010.49-0.490.07-23-519.315.73.6016.314.51.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.35,0.39,0.69,0.37,0.65,0.28,0.54,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 93, CHA 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.72,190.1%
MIN 103, ORL 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.67,0.46,0.32,0.26,0.46,0.75,0.72,0.84,1,189.7%
POR 87, UTA 920.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.69,189.3%