NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	122		Excitement	12.9 [9]		MVP	Dejounte Murray (ATL): +65.0%
Atlanta Hawks	123		Comeback	15.4 [49]		LVP	Kristaps Porzingis (BOS): -15.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.47,0.47,0.42	0.17	0.25	0.00	11	96%	0.53	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.1,0.24	-0.01	0.25	-0.00	17	53%	0.33	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.00	6	67%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.06,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.1,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	22	54%	0.21	2	-0.06	13	85%	0.03
Jrue Holiday	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	59%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Xavier Tillman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	20	47%	-0.06	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.1,0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.2,-0.07,0.01,0.2,0.11,0.65	0.65	0.04	0.62	0.02	44	49%	0.73	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.16,0.16,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.06	0.39	-0.00	19	57%	0.51	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	86%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.07	-0.01	16	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	0%	-0.25
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	6	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	27.4	15.3	24.5	2.4	27.2	2.6	16.1	141.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.1	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +58.1%

BOS -34.2%

ATL +19.1%

ATL +10.3%

BOS -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.7	16.1	14.5	118.4	118.3	113.9
season	14.9	14.2		120.7	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.7		118.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	12.7	13.6	13.9	19.3	16.4	14.7
ATL	13.9	14.6	15.5	21.9	16.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Tillman	17	18	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.04	5	-6	11	13.1	15.0	-1.85	15.8	16.1	-0.34
Luke Kornet	24	26	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-4	7	15.0	14.5	0.50	15.8	16.1	-0.33
Kristaps Porzingis	79	80	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	3	-7	14.7	14.5	0.26	16.0	16.3	-0.30
Sam Hauser	41	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-4	7	14.5	14.8	-0.33	17.2	15.3	1.94
Jaylen Brown	73	75	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.39	8	-9	17	15.0	13.8	1.26	16.6	14.7	1.90
Derrick White	80	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.47	3	-4	7	14.3	15.9	-1.61	15.9	16.5	-0.62
Jrue Holiday	72	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	0	-1	14.9	14.1	0.76	16.1	16.0	0.04
Jayson Tatum	89	89	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.42	-11	10	-21	15.0	12.5	2.50	15.9	17.3	-1.41
Payton Pritchard	40	37	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.51	-11	10	-21	14.0	15.0	-1.00	14.9	16.7	-1.81

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Andre Hunter	77	76	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.50	1	0	1	16.5	14.9	1.53	14.8	14.2	0.59
Dejounte Murray	93	92	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.40	3	-2	5	15.7	19.3	-3.60	14.5	16.3	-1.81
Clint Capela	64	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	1	-1	16.0	16.1	-0.07	14.9	14.3	0.59
Bogdan Bogdanovic	84	85	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.38	2	-1	3	15.9	16.6	-0.73	15.1	12.6	2.48
Vit Krejci	65	66	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	1	-1	17.3	13.9	3.37	15.4	13.3	2.13
Wesley Matthews	49	47	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	2	-3	14.8	17.1	-2.31	13.7	15.4	-1.68
Bruno Fernando	41	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	0	1	15.7	16.3	-0.58	14.3	14.9	-0.59
Garrison Mathews	36	35	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	0	1	15.4	16.4	-1.07	13.1	15.5	-2.43
Trent Forrest	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	3	-5	19.3	15.7	3.60	16.3	14.5	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.35,0.39,0.69,0.37,0.65,0.28,0.54,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 93, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.72,1	90.1%
MIN 103, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.67,0.46,0.32,0.26,0.46,0.75,0.72,0.84,1,1	89.7%
POR 87, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.69,1	89.3%