NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Excitement	8.1 [268]		MVP	Brandon Miller (CHA): +31.1%
Charlotte Hornets	118		Comeback	4.1 [87]		LVP	Caris LeVert (CLE): -33.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.00	0.00	14	75%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.12
Georges Niang	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	7	100%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.02	-0.03	13	73%	0.21	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	-0.02	0.01	11	68%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Isaac Okoro	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Craig Porter Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	15	45%	-0.01	5	-0.21	1	100%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.11,-0.16,-0.29,-0.33	-0.15	-0.18	-0.00	9	22%	-0.11	4	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Miller	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.31	0.31	0.23	0.11	0.03	19	77%	0.35	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nick Richards	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	4	92%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	8	80%	0.19	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.05
Aleksej Pokusevski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	83%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	10	71%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	14	57%	0.15	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
JT Thor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	27.2	14.6	27.1	2.4	31.6	130.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +24.5%

CHA +23.0%

CHA +1.9%

CHA +6.4%

CLE -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.3	14.5	119.4	126.9	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		113.0	108.3
opponent	14.5	14.7		118.7	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.8	14.7	16.7	19.7	15.7
CHA	15.5	13.6	14.6	18.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	45	46	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-10	13	15.3	16.0	-0.69	16.7	14.0	2.67
Craig Porter Jr.	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-5	3	16.2	15.6	0.57	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Sam Merrill	44	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-6	5	16.9	14.6	2.27	15.9	14.7	1.22
Isaac Okoro	50	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.28	-13	6	-19	16.0	15.3	0.76	13.7	17.1	-3.38
Tristan Thompson	8	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-2	-3	17.4	15.5	1.87	13.4	15.5	-2.06
Max Strus	49	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-6	5	14.3	17.2	-2.92	16.6	14.0	2.66
Caris LeVert	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-9	11	15.3	16.2	-0.95	15.1	15.6	-0.55
Darius Garland	71	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-3	-1	16.3	13.5	2.84	15.5	14.7	0.76
Jarrett Allen	67	68	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	15.6	15.8	-0.14	14.8	16.6	-1.72
Evan Mobley	62	59	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.49	-8	1	-9	15.2	16.6	-1.47	15.1	15.6	-0.50

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Williams	59	60	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.36	11	-4	15	15.6	14.7	0.89	15.9	15.2	0.80
Brandon Miller	69	67	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-1	9	15.8	13.7	2.09	16.0	14.7	1.30
Vasilije Micic	67	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	6	-5	15.3	15.2	0.10	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Miles Bridges	82	82	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	7	-7	14.7	19.6	-4.92	15.1	19.6	-4.50
Tre Mann	56	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-4	15	14.9	16.0	-1.12	15.7	15.6	0.09
Aleksej Pokusevski	44	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.24	-2	9	-11	15.0	15.5	-0.49	15.3	16.0	-0.75
JT Thor	3	2	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	5	-3	8.3	15.5	-7.20	19.5	15.6	3.92
Nick Richards	42	42	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.15	1	6	-5	16.5	14.3	2.14	16.1	15.3	0.82
Davis Bertans	43	44	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.28	3	4	-1	15.2	15.4	-0.13	15.7	15.6	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.59,0.36,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.57,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 83, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.67,0.98,1	91.7%
TOR 82, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.54,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.53,0.72,1	91.5%
MIA 77, DET 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.55,0.74,1	90.3%