NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	128		Excitement	13.5 [6]		MVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): +62.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	124		Comeback	369.4 [1]		LVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -24.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0.63	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.34,0.63	0.14	0.47	-0.02	20	63%	0.67	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.09
Rui Hachimura	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.11	0.01	14	53%	0.21	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.07	0.13	-0.05	10	41%	0.14	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.07
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	8	35%	0.14	1	-0.09	4	100%	0.07
Anthony Davis	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.04	0.02	31	49%	0.13	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.03
Max Christie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	67%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2,-0.17	0.04	-0.21	0.00	22	54%	0.01	4	-0.18	10	100%	0.19

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.52,0.47	0.47	-0.05	0.47	-0.06	29	42%	0.49	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.13
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.06	-0.00	7	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.13,0.13,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	0.08	-0.15	0.02	18	58%	0.07	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.16	-0.04	15	37%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	0.05	-0.30	-0.00	15	56%	-0.24	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.25	-0.25	-0.06	-0.23	-0.04	25	52%	-0.07	7	-0.18	6	17%	-0.14

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	28.6	2.0	27.6	16.0	27.2	1.8	38.6	2.4	15.9	2.0	19.1	181.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.1	2.4	15.1	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +68.6%

LAL +52.1%

MIL -53.7%

MIL -20.1%

LAL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIL	NBA	LAL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.2	13.8	14.5	103.2	100.0	113.9
season	14.1	14.3		114.4	117.0
opponent	14.3	14.3		114.8	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	15.2	14.1	14.8	12.9	14.8	14.3
MIL	12.1	14.7	13.4	14.3	15.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D'Angelo Russell	106	107	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.54	10	-6	16	14.5	12.8	1.71	14.1	11.9	2.25
Spencer Dinwiddie	90	90	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.44	8	-4	12	14.1	14.7	-0.64	14.1	13.2	0.85
Anthony Davis	111	111	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	2	0	14.2	14.2	0.01	13.7	14.5	-0.71
Austin Reaves	101	103	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.52	-2	6	-8	14.0	15.1	-1.09	13.8	14.0	-0.21
Rui Hachimura	82	80	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.35	-6	10	-16	14.7	13.4	1.27	14.0	13.5	0.54
Max Christie	16	14	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.11	6	-2	8	15.4	14.1	1.37	14.9	13.7	1.17
Jaxson Hayes	38	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	9	-14	13.8	14.4	-0.61	13.1	14.1	-1.03
Taurean Prince	61	63	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.30	10	-6	16	13.8	14.7	-0.83	13.7	14.0	-0.32
Cam Reddish	15	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.05	-3	7	-10	14.1	14.3	-0.20	12.3	14.0	-1.77

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
AJ Green	27	25	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-8	12	12.6	14.2	-1.62	14.7	14.1	0.55
Bobby Portis	66	63	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-9	14	13.2	14.5	-1.31	14.6	13.8	0.80
Pat Connaughton	49	49	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.25	-6	2	-8	13.0	14.3	-1.33	13.8	14.5	-0.77
Jae Crowder	40	41	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.30	-8	4	-12	13.2	14.1	-0.85	13.8	14.5	-0.65
Brook Lopez	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-8	12	14.2	13.4	0.81	14.3	14.2	0.16
Khris Middleton	82	81	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.53	-2	-2	0	14.2	13.1	1.10	14.2	14.4	-0.23
Damian Lillard	105	106	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.45	-5	1	-6	14.1	12.1	2.09	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Malik Beasley	84	85	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.65	1	-5	6	14.1	13.2	0.96	14.4	13.8	0.58
Giannis Antetokounmpo	96	99	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.35	-13	9	-22	14.1	13.0	1.02	14.3	13.9	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.96,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.84,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.15,0.26,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.47,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 123, NYK 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.77,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.46,0.55,0.16,0	87.0%
GSW 104, DEN 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	86.7%
UTA 75, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	86.5%