NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	145		Excitement	6.1 [566]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (LAL): +29.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	150		Comeback	2.5 [584]		LVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): -6.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.01	29	55%	0.21	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.03
Aaron Nesmith	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	8	72%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.03	0.04	12	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.02	8	87%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	9	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.04	6	92%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.01	0.03	15	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Ben Sheppard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	13	46%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.19	0.11	0.01	11	84%	0.35	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.04
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.24	0.05	0.07	21	77%	0.26	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.00	8	82%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Austin Reaves	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.04	0.03	13	66%	0.15	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.03
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	19	57%	0.13	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	5	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.0	34.0	14.7	26.5	2.3	33.6	140.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +20.2%

LAL +23.8%

IND -0.3%

LAL +3.5%

LAL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAL	NBA	IND	LAL	NBA
this game	12.4	14.1	14.5	133.0	137.6	113.9
season	13.7	14.1		120.0	114.4
opponent	14.3	14.7		114.3	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.4	13.8	13.1	11.4	12.4
LAL	13.0	13.4	15.1	14.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Jackson	29	31	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.17	7	-12	19	13.2	12.1	1.11	14.2	14.0	0.23
T.J. McConnell	40	41	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-12	19	13.3	11.8	1.53	13.6	14.4	-0.77
Ben Sheppard	35	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-6	7	12.6	12.2	0.36	14.7	13.8	0.92
Doug McDermott	50	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.32	9	-14	23	13.1	11.7	1.45	13.0	14.9	-1.89
Jalen Smith	13	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-1	-3	13.1	12.3	0.82	11.6	14.4	-2.78
Obi Toppin	45	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-9	13	12.5	12.2	0.30	13.6	14.3	-0.72
Aaron Nesmith	58	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	0	-5	12.8	11.8	0.97	14.6	13.5	1.12
Andrew Nembhard	61	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	7	-19	11.4	13.5	-2.08	13.8	14.4	-0.56
Myles Turner	62	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	4	-13	12.3	12.5	-0.19	15.3	12.5	2.80
Pascal Siakam	76	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.15	-11	6	-17	11.8	13.6	-1.83	13.8	14.6	-0.79
Tyrese Haliburton	76	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.18	-12	7	-19	11.7	13.9	-2.18	14.4	13.4	0.94

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	91	91	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-5	15	14.0	14.3	-0.26	12.2	13.2	-0.97
LeBron James	85	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-7	19	14.2	13.7	0.46	12.5	12.0	0.45
Austin Reaves	84	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	1	3	14.7	11.8	2.94	11.9	14.0	-2.11
Rui Hachimura	67	67	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	-1	7	15.1	12.4	2.66	12.5	12.2	0.27
Spencer Dinwiddie	83	82	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	5	-5	14.0	14.1	-0.07	12.1	13.2	-1.10
Cam Reddish	53	54	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.16	1	4	-3	12.4	15.6	-3.25	12.3	12.4	-0.05
Taurean Prince	44	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	8	-11	14.0	14.1	-0.18	12.5	12.3	0.25
Max Christie	20	19	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	5	-5	12.1	14.5	-2.41	14.5	11.9	2.63
Jaxson Hayes	18	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	10	-15	14.3	14.0	0.26	13.2	12.2	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.78,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 105, CLE 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1	93.4%
DEN 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.3%
WAS 110, CHA 123	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.93,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%