NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	124		Excitement	6.3 [542]		MVP	Sam Hauser (BOS): +25.8%
Chicago Bulls	113		Comeback	1.6 [869]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -8.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Hauser	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.24	0.06	0.05	9	128%	0.30	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.05	-0.01	16	68%	0.23	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Oshae Brissett	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.10	0.00	3	117%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	13	52%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Luke Kornet	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	14	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Xavier Tillman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	20	53%	0.06	5	-0.12	9	89%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.00	19	67%	0.20	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.01	0.00	4	137%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	8	87%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.13	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	10	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Taylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onuralp Bitim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	16	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	11	42%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.4	22.3	14.5	27.3	2.5	27.3	119.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.6%

BOS +3.0%

BOS +23.3%

CHI -16.6%

BOS +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	17.8	14.0	14.5	137.8	124.2	113.9
season	14.9	14.5		120.7	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.7		115.1	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.6	18.0	18.6	19.4	17.8
CHI	13.2	15.5	13.5	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Payton Pritchard	61	62	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.14	17	-6	23	17.7	18.1	-0.36	15.0	12.0	2.97
Derrick White	72	72	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	3	5	18.4	15.3	3.11	13.7	15.4	-1.70
Al Horford	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	2	7	18.4	16.7	1.66	13.4	15.1	-1.70
Luke Kornet	58	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	8	-5	18.9	15.9	3.02	14.1	14.0	0.08
Sam Hauser	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	3	5	17.8	17.9	-0.10	13.5	15.4	-1.92
Jayson Tatum	71	71	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	6	-1	17.7	18.3	-0.63	13.5	15.7	-2.15
Oshae Brissett	30	32	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	7	-3	16.4	18.5	-2.08	15.0	13.5	1.51
Svi Mykhailiuk	16	17	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	10	-9	15.4	18.4	-2.98	15.0	13.8	1.20
Xavier Tillman	21	20	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	11	-11	15.8	18.4	-2.63	15.6	13.6	2.09
Jaden Springer	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	11	-11	0.0	17.8	-17.82	4.0	14.1	-10.13

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Taylor	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-11	11	13.0	14.0	-1.03	13.0	17.9	-4.88
Alex Caruso	54	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-11	11	13.6	14.6	-1.06	18.3	17.1	1.28
Onuralp Bitim	12	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-4	-3	12.8	14.2	-1.37	14.6	18.4	-3.75
DeMar DeRozan	80	78	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-8	5	14.1	13.1	1.06	18.1	16.1	2.01
Torrey Craig	35	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-8	5	15.5	13.1	2.38	17.2	18.2	-0.97
Nikola Vucevic	60	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	13.5	15.1	-1.63	18.4	16.7	1.63
Andre Drummond	30	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.12	-5	-6	1	15.2	13.5	1.71	16.9	18.3	-1.42
Coby White	71	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-4	-3	13.3	16.7	-3.43	18.2	16.5	1.64
Ayo Dosunmu	75	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	-2	-7	13.7	15.3	-1.57	18.2	15.8	2.43
Dalen Terry	37	35	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	4	-19	15.4	13.1	2.29	16.6	18.6	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, WAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.0%
CLE 89, CHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.7%
CLE 96, BOS 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.02,0,0.01,0,0	93.6%