NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	91		Excitement	3.1 [1119]		MVP	Bruno Fernando (ATL): +15.5%
Atlanta Hawks	132		Comeback	1.4 [1038]		LVP	Davis Bertans (CHA): -7.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Mann	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.01	-0.09	11	41%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	19	66%	0.09	4	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Nick Richards	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	75%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Nick Smith Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amari Bailey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	12	48%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Vasilije Micic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	10	35%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.21	0.01	0.06	14	78%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.20	0.00	0.11	14	97%	0.15	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.21	-0.00	0.14	8	95%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	4	112%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	14	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	5	60%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	27.3	14.3	25.4	2.7	21.5	118.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +29.2%

ATL +3.4%

ATL +6.2%

ATL +8.6%

ATL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	14.5	97.8	140.4	113.9
season	14.8	14.2		108.3	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.5		118.0	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.7	15.1	16.1	15.5	15.6
ATL	17.0	13.7	14.6	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Smith Jr.	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-37	33	12.3	15.8	-3.56	16.0	15.2	0.83
Amari Bailey	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-37	33	12.3	15.8	-3.56	16.0	15.2	0.83
Nick Richards	60	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.37	-17	-24	7	16.3	14.3	1.93	16.0	14.0	1.99
Tre Mann	56	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.39	-19	-22	3	15.7	15.3	0.43	15.3	15.2	0.10
Davis Bertans	49	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.60	-30	-11	-19	15.1	16.1	-1.01	14.6	15.9	-1.34
Brandon Miller	64	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.38	-23	-18	-5	16.5	13.6	2.90	15.7	14.1	1.51
Vasilije Micic	56	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.17	-18	-23	5	15.6	15.5	0.11	15.3	15.1	0.23
Grant Williams	49	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.46	-29	-12	-17	15.4	15.7	-0.32	14.3	16.3	-2.07
Aleksej Pokusevski	47	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.44	-29	-12	-17	15.1	16.1	-1.00	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Miles Bridges	70	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.46	-32	-9	-23	15.4	16.0	-0.61	15.2	15.2	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dejounte Murray	61	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.30	23	18	5	14.9	15.8	-0.82	15.8	15.2	0.52
Vit Krejci	61	60	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.45	28	13	15	15.1	15.5	-0.40	15.3	16.0	-0.70
De'Andre Hunter	55	54	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.24	21	20	1	14.9	15.7	-0.76	15.8	15.2	0.60
Clint Capela	44	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.34	22	19	3	14.8	15.6	-0.85	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Bogdan Bogdanovic	53	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	26	-11	15.5	14.9	0.61	15.6	15.5	0.15
Garrison Mathews	52	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.63	31	10	21	15.0	15.5	-0.50	15.4	15.9	-0.52
Bruno Fernando	50	48	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.36	19	22	-3	15.6	14.8	0.85	15.7	15.4	0.31
Dylan Windler	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.37	17	24	-7	15.6	14.9	0.70	15.3	15.8	-0.52
Trent Forrest	33	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.41	18	23	-5	15.8	14.9	0.82	15.2	15.8	-0.52
Wesley Matthews	24	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.25	11	30	-19	15.5	15.1	0.43	16.5	15.3	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHA 84, NOH 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHI 71, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%