inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 91 Excitement3.1 [1145] MVPBruno Fernando (ATL): +15.5%
Atlanta Hawks 132 Comeback1.4 [1067] LVPDavis Bertans (CHA): -7.9%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tre Mann0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.030.01-0.091141%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Miles Bridges0.060,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.000.011966%0.094-0.03333%-0.01
Nick Richards0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.010.02775%0.0510.002100%0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.03475%0.0400.004100%0.02
Nick Smith Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Amari Bailey0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Miller-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.031248%-0.001-0.02333%-0.00
Vasilije Micic-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.021036%-0.041-0.002100%0.01
Grant Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.021035%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Davis Bertans-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.01837%-0.052-0.0200%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruno Fernando0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.210.010.061478%0.1500.00475%0.02
Dejounte Murray0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.200.000.111497%0.154-0.071100%0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.01-0.001060%0.0700.0000%0.00
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.21-0.000.14895%0.0700.00580%0.01
Vit Krejci0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.000.034112%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.011150%0.0200.002100%0.01
Dylan Windler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02550%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Trent Forrest0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.03-0.00-0.03540%0.0010.0000%0.00
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.011437%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.03-0.000.06560%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.627.314.325.42.721.5118.2
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +29.2%
ATL +3.4%
ATL +6.2%
ATL +8.6%
ATL +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAATLNBACHAATLNBA
this game15.615.214.597.8140.4113.9
season14.814.2108.3115.7
opponent14.314.5118.0118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA15.715.116.115.515.6
ATL17.013.714.615.815.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Smith Jr.760.00-0.500.500.12-4-373312.315.8-3.5616.015.20.83
Amari Bailey760.00-0.500.500.12-4-373312.315.8-3.5616.015.20.83
Nick Richards6059-0.13-0.370.250.37-17-24716.314.31.9316.014.01.99
Tre Mann5657-0.17-0.330.160.39-19-22315.715.30.4315.315.20.10
Davis Bertans4947-0.28-0.22-0.050.60-30-11-1915.116.1-1.0114.615.9-1.34
Brandon Miller6467-0.29-0.21-0.090.38-23-18-516.513.62.9015.714.11.51
Vasilije Micic5658-0.35-0.15-0.210.17-18-23515.615.50.1115.315.10.23
Grant Williams4951-0.39-0.11-0.290.46-29-12-1715.415.7-0.3214.316.3-2.07
Aleksej Pokusevski4747-0.41-0.09-0.310.44-29-12-1715.116.1-1.0015.015.4-0.40
Miles Bridges7072-0.48-0.02-0.460.46-32-9-2315.416.0-0.6115.215.2-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dejounte Murray61600.380.120.26-0.302318514.915.8-0.8215.815.20.52
Vit Krejci61600.370.130.25-0.4528131515.115.5-0.4015.316.0-0.70
De'Andre Hunter55540.370.130.25-0.242120114.915.7-0.7615.815.20.60
Clint Capela44450.300.200.10-0.342219314.815.6-0.8515.415.7-0.31
Bogdan Bogdanovic53510.280.220.06-0.161526-1115.514.90.6115.615.50.15
Garrison Mathews52530.280.220.06-0.6331102115.015.5-0.5015.415.9-0.52
Bruno Fernando50480.200.30-0.10-0.361922-315.614.80.8515.715.40.31
Dylan Windler37370.130.37-0.25-0.371724-715.614.90.7015.315.8-0.52
Trent Forrest33330.120.38-0.26-0.411823-515.814.90.8215.215.8-0.52
Wesley Matthews24240.070.43-0.36-0.251130-1915.515.10.4316.515.31.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 91, TOR 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
CHA 84, NOH 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
CHI 71, SAC 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%