NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	84		Excitement	2.5 [1253]		MVP	David West (NOH): +12.1%
New Orleans Hornets	112		Comeback	1.4 [778]		LVP	Jason Richardson (CHA): -8.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	70%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	59%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	69%	-0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Jermareo Davidson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	9	22%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	5	90%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	17	33%	-0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.20	0.01	0.08	18	72%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.17	0.00	0.10	8	94%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.08	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	65%	0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Vinicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	3	117%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	4	25%	-0.00	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	27.4	15.7	22.6	2.0	26.0	120.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +43.1%

NOH +2.9%

NOH +3.5%

CHA -0.3%

NOH +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOH	NBA	CHA	NOH	NBA
this game	17.8	14.9	15.4	95.5	127.3	105.7
season	15.8	15.9		103.1	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.0	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.7	21.4	15.9	17.6	17.8
NOH	17.6	12.9	14.7	14.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-23	18	19.4	17.5	1.90	12.4	15.5	-3.10
Jermareo Davidson	22	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-28	28	17.6	17.9	-0.24	14.4	15.1	-0.64
Emeka Okafor	47	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.24	-11	-17	6	16.9	18.9	-1.98	15.9	13.8	2.07
Jared Dudley	32	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-23	18	17.4	18.1	-0.70	14.3	15.3	-0.99
Ryan Hollins	33	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-22	16	16.1	18.9	-2.76	15.0	14.9	0.15
Jeff McInnis	50	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-19	10	17.1	18.8	-1.66	15.4	14.3	1.04
Matt Carroll	45	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-13	-2	18.4	17.2	1.28	13.9	15.9	-1.95
Jason Richardson	50	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.29	-21	-7	-14	18.2	17.3	0.93	15.3	14.3	1.00
Raymond Felton	48	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.26	-21	-7	-14	18.3	17.2	1.13	15.3	14.4	0.85
Gerald Wallace	58	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.32	-26	-2	-24	18.1	17.4	0.69	15.2	14.4	0.82
Nazr Mohammed	39	38	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.11	-21	-7	-14	18.9	16.9	1.98	14.6	15.2	-0.58

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	58	59	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.29	25	3	22	15.2	14.4	0.72	17.8	17.8	0.09
Tyson Chandler	54	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.33	24	4	20	15.2	14.4	0.86	18.0	17.6	0.40
Morris Peterson	48	49	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.28	21	7	14	15.0	14.7	0.29	17.9	17.7	0.27
Chris Paul	53	54	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.28	21	7	14	15.5	14.0	1.51	17.8	17.9	-0.15
Peja Stojakovic	50	50	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.27	18	10	8	15.5	14.1	1.46	17.5	18.3	-0.83
Ryan Bowen	33	32	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	25	-22	14.0	15.5	-1.45	17.3	18.1	-0.75
Melvin Ely	34	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	20	-12	15.4	14.6	0.82	18.1	17.7	0.44
Jannero Pargo	35	34	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	21	-14	14.0	15.5	-1.51	17.9	17.8	0.15
Bobby Jackson	22	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	26	-24	16.1	14.5	1.64	16.5	18.3	-1.76
Rasual Butler	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.14	5	23	-18	13.1	15.4	-2.33	19.2	17.5	1.68
Hilton Armstrong	23	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	28	-28	14.4	15.1	-0.64	17.6	17.9	-0.24
Marcus Vinicius	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	22	-16	11.6	15.4	-3.85	19.3	17.6	1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 71, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
PHX 83, GSW 129	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
LAL 72, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%