NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	7.6 [329]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +22.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	2.7 [667]		LVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): -21.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22	0.05	0.16	-0.02	26	47%	0.22	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Paul Reed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	61%	0.07	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	6	36%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
KJ Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	9	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.06	0.04	18	44%	-0.07	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Tobias Harris	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.07	-0.12	0.02	18	39%	-0.11	2	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.16	0.01	16	64%	0.32	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	8	61%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	83%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.02	8	58%	0.12	3	-0.11	8	75%	-0.05
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.14,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.05	-0.02	15	54%	0.18	8	-0.20	7	71%	0.01
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	13	50%	0.00	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	32.3	15.3	26.6	2.5	36.4	138.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +68.6%

LAL +2.3%

LAL +10.6%

PHI -33.9%

LAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAL	NBA	PHI	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	13.8	14.5	94.0	101.0	113.9
season	14.9	14.1		115.6	114.4
opponent	14.3	14.5		114.3	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.8	14.7	14.4	15.1	15.0
LAL	14.9	12.4	14.4	13.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
KJ Martin	8	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-4	1	15.2	15.0	0.28	11.9	14.0	-2.10
Kelly Oubre Jr.	72	73	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-10	13	15.0	15.0	-0.01	14.2	12.7	1.52
Paul Reed	26	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	15.1	15.0	0.12	15.6	13.2	2.44
Buddy Hield	27	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	2	-11	15.4	14.8	0.57	13.9	13.8	0.11
Kyle Lowry	67	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.31	2	-9	11	14.9	15.3	-0.42	13.8	13.9	-0.15
Cameron Payne	28	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-1	-5	14.8	15.1	-0.28	12.7	14.2	-1.46
Tyrese Maxey	80	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-6	5	14.8	15.9	-1.14	14.1	12.5	1.58
Mo Bamba	66	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-7	7	14.9	15.1	-0.19	13.3	14.8	-1.47
Nicolas Batum	42	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	1	-9	15.5	14.6	0.96	13.2	14.2	-1.00
Tobias Harris	84	86	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.32	-9	2	-11	15.0	15.1	-0.09	13.8	13.9	-0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	78	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	0	7	13.4	15.3	-1.88	15.0	15.0	-0.07
D'Angelo Russell	80	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-2	11	14.0	13.1	0.83	14.4	17.2	-2.85
Cam Reddish	39	38	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	5	-3	14.5	13.4	1.15	15.2	14.9	0.31
Anthony Davis	81	81	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	3	1	14.3	11.7	2.56	15.1	14.6	0.51
Max Christie	34	33	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	-2	11	13.9	13.8	0.15	15.3	14.9	0.42
Spencer Dinwiddie	49	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	-1	9	12.8	14.8	-2.03	15.6	14.4	1.18
Austin Reaves	69	68	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	8	-9	14.3	12.6	1.69	15.3	14.2	1.09
Jaxson Hayes	19	19	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	4	-1	11.7	14.3	-2.56	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Rui Hachimura	51	52	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	13	-19	13.9	13.8	0.11	14.6	15.4	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.66,0.53,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 96, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.98,1	94.0%
ORL 101, PHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.5%
WAS 91, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.91,1	93.5%