NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	108		Excitement	7.8 [313]		MVP	Malik Beasley (MIL): +21.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	115		Comeback	2.4 [730]		LVP	Lonnie Walker IV (BKN): -10.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	19	63%	0.20	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.03	0.06	12	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Cameron Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.06	0.04	13	63%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.03
Cam Thomas	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	17	52%	0.15	3	-0.14	6	83%	-0.00
Jalen Wilson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	2	125%	0.14	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Noah Clowney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.12	0.01	10	67%	0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.03	0.00	7	107%	0.22	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.13	-0.00	19	50%	0.19	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.03	0.03	9	94%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.08,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.06	0.03	22	64%	0.24	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.05
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	10	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	23.7	13.8	37.4	1.6	35.0	136.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +28.7%

MIL +3.6%

BKN -3.8%

MIL +21.0%

MIL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIL	NBA	BKN	MIL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.5	14.5	111.3	119.8	113.9
season	14.8	14.3		111.9	117.0
opponent	14.3	14.5		114.8	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.0	15.0	14.5	12.2	14.4
MIL	14.6	15.0	15.5	16.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Wilson	24	23	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.01	11	-18	29	12.4	15.1	-2.68	16.0	15.3	0.71
Noah Clowney	26	26	0.26	-0.76	1.01	-0.04	10	-17	27	14.0	14.5	-0.48	17.6	14.7	2.91
Trendon Watford	15	16	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-12	17	16.3	14.0	2.22	18.6	14.8	3.80
Cameron Johnson	70	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-9	11	14.0	15.4	-1.46	15.6	15.0	0.68
Dennis Smith Jr.	38	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	0	-7	14.4	14.4	0.00	16.8	14.7	2.16
Lonnie Walker IV	21	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.00	-9	2	-11	15.2	14.2	1.02	16.8	15.1	1.76
Cam Thomas	78	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-1	-5	14.9	12.4	2.45	15.3	16.0	-0.67
Mikal Bridges	71	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.34	-7	0	-7	14.1	15.2	-1.04	14.6	17.6	-2.92
Nic Claxton	71	70	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.26	-17	10	-27	14.5	14.0	0.48	14.7	17.6	-2.91
Dennis Schroder	71	71	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.38	-17	10	-27	14.6	13.8	0.75	14.2	19.0	-4.73

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	59	59	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.40	15	-8	23	16.1	14.5	1.63	13.5	15.8	-2.25
Giannis Antetokounmpo	71	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	2	3	15.0	16.9	-1.92	14.4	14.5	-0.15
Pat Connaughton	30	30	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.06	17	-10	27	16.0	15.2	0.84	15.0	14.1	0.88
Malik Beasley	63	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	1	5	14.8	16.8	-1.98	14.4	14.4	-0.00
Jae Crowder	61	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	7	-7	14.7	16.8	-2.07	14.2	14.7	-0.42
Patrick Beverley	38	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	-2	11	16.1	15.1	1.03	14.4	14.4	0.03
Damian Lillard	76	76	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.33	-7	14	-21	15.5	15.2	0.26	14.2	15.0	-0.78
AJ Green	26	27	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	3	1	16.5	15.1	1.38	14.6	14.3	0.33
Brook Lopez	56	57	-0.50	1.00	-1.49	-0.09	-14	21	-35	15.7	15.0	0.70	15.3	13.1	2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.82,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.34,0.55,0.84,0.76,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.78,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.4,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.95,1	93.1%
BOS 101, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.84,0.92,1	92.3%
PHX 93, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.72,0.9,0.98,1	91.4%