NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	113		Excitement	7.9 [287]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (DAL): +33.1%
San Antonio Spurs	107		Comeback	1.7 [830]		LVP	Victor Wembanyama (SAS): -39.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.33	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.25,0.33,0.33	0.13	0.19	-0.01	21	64%	0.35	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dante Exum	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	8	89%	0.23	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dereck Lively II	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	7	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maxi Kleber	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	72%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Luka Doncic	-0.32	0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.32	-0.21	-0.10	0.01	27	31%	-0.21	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28	0.28	0.19	0.10	0.01	11	92%	0.31	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.02	10	64%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	65%	0.13	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.01	18	51%	0.08	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.07	-0.14	0.01	15	38%	-0.13	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.11
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.37,-0.4,-0.4	-0.40	-0.16	-0.21	0.03	13	36%	-0.18	5	-0.21	7	86%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.6	25.6	15.2	23.6	2.3	37.3	133.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +19.7%

DAL +11.0%

SAS -16.7%

DAL +36.4%

SAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.2	13.5	14.5	108.7	102.9	113.9
season	14.3	13.9		116.0	108.6
opponent	14.3	14.5		115.2	113.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	11.2	14.9	14.1	17.1	14.2
SAS	14.0	13.3	13.6	12.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	47	46	1.10	-0.60	1.70	0.31	27	-21	48	13.4	14.9	-1.57	14.2	12.9	1.22
Dante Exum	56	56	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.31	16	-10	26	15.4	12.8	2.62	13.9	12.9	1.03
Daniel Gafford	62	62	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-4	14	13.8	14.9	-1.15	13.4	13.5	-0.09
Luka Doncic	88	89	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	1	4	14.3	13.8	0.48	13.3	14.3	-1.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	38	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	0	6	12.9	15.0	-2.01	13.6	13.4	0.27
Jaden Hardy	10	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	3	0	10.3	14.6	-4.34	15.2	13.3	1.91
Derrick Jones Jr.	36	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	14.3	14.2	0.09	13.2	13.6	-0.37
Kyrie Irving	83	83	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	16	-26	14.4	13.3	1.11	13.1	14.9	-1.74
Dereck Lively II	32	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	10	-14	15.7	13.5	2.21	14.0	13.2	0.72
P.J. Washington	74	74	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.38	-18	24	-42	15.0	12.2	2.84	12.9	14.9	-2.05

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Champagnie	43	44	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-9	12	13.6	13.4	0.19	14.2	14.2	0.05
Cedi Osman	25	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-7	8	12.8	13.7	-0.83	14.0	14.3	-0.24
Tre Jones	71	71	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.27	7	-13	20	13.4	13.6	-0.20	15.3	12.0	3.30
Malaki Branham	41	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.22	5	-11	16	13.3	13.6	-0.25	16.0	13.0	2.94
Dominick Barlow	33	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.18	-11	5	-16	14.4	13.1	1.31	13.8	14.4	-0.55
Jeremy Sochan	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-3	0	13.9	12.8	1.18	14.7	13.5	1.17
Victor Wembanyama	71	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.51	5	-11	16	13.1	14.4	-1.31	14.4	13.8	0.55
Blake Wesley	31	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	5	-16	13.7	13.4	0.39	12.0	15.1	-3.12
Keldon Johnson	63	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	2	-10	12.8	14.5	-1.76	13.4	15.5	-2.17
Devin Vassell	79	78	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.27	-18	12	-30	13.8	12.4	1.46	13.5	16.3	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.52,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.17,0.29,0.32,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.43,0.15,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 132, HOU 123	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.1,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.11,0.02,0	91.1%
NYK 126, ATL 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.51,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.09,0.01,0	91.1%
SAS 100, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.54,0.22,0,0	90.5%