NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	126		Excitement	8.4 [214]		MVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): +30.9%
Atlanta Hawks	120		Comeback	1.1 [768]		LVP	Immanuel Quickley (NYK): -21.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
RJ Barrett	0.31	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.31	0.12	0.19	-0.00	15	72%	0.38	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.23	0.18	0.05	0.00	21	70%	0.37	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.02	10	73%	0.15	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Julius Randle	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.02	10	61%	0.18	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.04
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Josh Hart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	6	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Immanuel Quickley	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	14	37%	-0.09	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.28	0.28	0.22	0.09	0.03	13	79%	0.28	0	0.00	8	100%	0.07
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.00	11	73%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.01	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
AJ Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	17	49%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	8	58%	0.05	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.03
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	16	43%	0.06	6	-0.25	10	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	24.9	14.8	26.8	2.5	30.9	129.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +51.0%

ATL -18.4%

NYK +13.8%

NYK +2.1%

NYK +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	12.1	14.5	120.0	111.1	113.9
season	15.6	14.2		116.8	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.4		118.0	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.4	14.2	17.0	14.5	15.0
ATL	14.4	14.1	9.9	10.3	12.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Robinson	77	79	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.38	11	-5	16	15.8	12.8	3.05	13.0	9.6	3.44
Jalen Brunson	67	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-7	20	16.0	13.4	2.59	13.0	10.3	2.71
Julius Randle	71	75	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	-1	8	15.5	13.9	1.59	12.8	10.3	2.54
RJ Barrett	76	78	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	0	6	14.3	16.9	-2.59	11.9	12.4	-0.46
Quentin Grimes	53	53	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-2	10	15.5	14.5	0.95	12.9	11.3	1.58
Josh Hart	52	52	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	8	-10	14.0	16.1	-2.10	10.9	13.1	-2.20
Immanuel Quickley	54	56	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	9	-12	15.0	15.0	0.04	11.3	12.9	-1.66
Donte DiVincenzo	47	49	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	11	-16	14.7	15.3	-0.61	11.0	13.0	-2.02
Isaiah Hartenstein	28	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.06	-5	11	-16	12.8	15.8	-3.05	9.6	13.0	-3.44

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	49	47	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-8	10	10.8	13.1	-2.36	13.9	16.0	-2.11
Bogdan Bogdanovic	60	57	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-6	6	11.9	12.3	-0.45	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Jalen Johnson	70	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-5	4	11.1	13.9	-2.82	14.4	16.1	-1.70
AJ Griffin	21	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-2	-2	10.0	12.6	-2.56	13.9	15.3	-1.37
De'Andre Hunter	68	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-5	4	12.5	11.2	1.29	16.0	13.3	2.71
Saddiq Bey	57	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	0	-6	13.5	10.5	2.98	14.9	15.1	-0.15
Dejounte Murray	74	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	0	-6	12.7	10.8	1.90	15.8	13.3	2.50
Clint Capela	60	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	3	-12	12.9	11.0	1.99	16.0	13.9	2.11
Trae Young	81	81	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	-1	-4	11.8	12.9	-1.10	14.6	16.3	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.51,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 130, PHX 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.27,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.11,0.01,0	92.9%
LAL 132, HOU 123	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.1,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.11,0.02,0	92.7%
MIN 102, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.18,0	92.4%