NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	115		Excitement	11.6 [26]		MVP	Keldon Johnson (SAS): +54.3%
San Antonio Spurs	122		Comeback	23.1 [80]		LVP	Jeremy Sochan (SAS): -28.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.04	0.03	23	60%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	9	71%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.06
Nic Claxton	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.04	9	52%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Cameron Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	6	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	9	44%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.22,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	16	42%	-0.07	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.04,-0.2	-0.08	-0.16	-0.03	19	47%	-0.01	5	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.54	0.54	0.22	0.34	0.02	12	89%	0.56	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	0.00	7	71%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	26	57%	0.31	4	-0.22	6	67%	-0.02
Tre Jones	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	7	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.14,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	21	57%	0.17	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.13	-0.21	-0.06	8	22%	-0.22	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	27.5	14.7	30.0	2.5	32.5	2.5	18.0	155.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.0	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +49.3%

SAS +10.4%

SAS +32.6%

BKN -31.6%

BKN -10.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	SAS	NBA	BKN	SAS	NBA
this game	14.2	14.3	14.5	103.6	108.9	113.9
season	14.8	13.9		111.9	108.6
opponent	14.3	14.5		115.2	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BKN	13.4	12.3	15.5	15.6	14.9	14.2
SAS	12.3	15.3	13.9	17.1	12.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Johnson	56	60	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.34	1	-8	9	12.3	16.1	-3.77	14.6	14.0	0.66
Day'Ron Sharpe	39	41	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.19	3	-10	13	13.0	14.9	-1.90	15.4	13.7	1.78
Dennis Smith Jr.	36	34	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.31	-6	-1	-5	13.3	14.6	-1.29	15.6	13.7	1.92
Lonnie Walker IV	25	23	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.08	0	-7	7	11.6	15.0	-3.31	14.5	14.3	0.21
Cam Thomas	81	84	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.45	6	-13	19	14.6	13.3	1.29	14.2	14.5	-0.25
Dennis Schroder	86	89	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	0	-7	15.0	11.6	3.31	14.3	14.5	-0.21
Dorian Finney-Smith	79	79	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.51	-9	2	-11	14.6	13.2	1.48	13.8	15.5	-1.75
Mikal Bridges	86	84	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.42	-14	7	-21	14.7	12.4	2.33	13.9	15.7	-1.82
Nic Claxton	67	66	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.64	-9	2	-11	15.4	12.5	2.90	13.9	14.9	-0.95

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keldon Johnson	75	72	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-7	21	14.1	14.7	-0.54	13.4	15.7	-2.29
Victor Wembanyama	75	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	2	3	14.2	14.5	-0.34	14.5	13.6	0.81
Tre Jones	72	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	0	7	14.4	14.1	0.33	15.3	12.2	3.13
Devin Vassell	93	91	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-1	9	14.0	15.7	-1.65	14.5	13.0	1.47
Jeremy Sochan	87	86	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	4	-1	14.4	13.9	0.51	14.5	13.2	1.35
Malaki Branham	36	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	2	3	13.4	14.7	-1.28	12.8	14.8	-2.01
Blake Wesley	24	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	7	-7	14.2	14.4	-0.19	12.3	14.8	-2.49
Zach Collins	37	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.17	2	5	-3	14.5	14.2	0.34	13.6	14.5	-0.81
Cedi Osman	29	30	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.15	-1	8	-9	16.9	13.4	3.44	13.6	14.4	-0.83
Julian Champagnie	32	33	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.01	-8	15	-23	13.7	14.5	-0.79	15.5	13.7	1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.27,0.22,0.05,0.18,0.25,0.16,0.29,0.84,0.54,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.36,0.57,0.9,0.54,0.52,0.29,0.32,0.15,1	89.6%
CHI 105, MIA 110	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.38,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.58,1	88.9%
SEA 87, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.36,0.69,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.16,1	88.8%