NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	5.4 [709]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +22.0%
New Orleans Pelicans	126		Comeback	1.3 [1230]		LVP	Kris Murray (POR): -8.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.01	-0.00	13	74%	0.14	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Dalano Banton	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	20	64%	0.20	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Jabari Walker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	-0.02	6	71%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Simons	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	18	66%	0.18	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Minaya	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ibou Badji	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	8	65%	0.06	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Kris Murray	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.06	-0.06	17	67%	0.28	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.19	0.04	0.08	20	75%	0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	7	79%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.01	0.05	13	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Ingram	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	21	51%	0.05	1	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.9	0.1	27.3	13.7	24.1	0.8	31.2	128.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +22.0%

NOP +1.3%

NOP +5.8%

NOP +22.8%

POR -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOP	NBA	POR	NOP	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	14.5	108.1	127.3	113.9
season	14.8	14.4		106.9	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.5		111.0	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.4	14.0	15.2	15.1	14.7
NOP	13.9	14.8	13.0	16.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Minaya	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	12.3	14.7	-2.42	11.0	14.6	-3.56
Ibou Badji	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	12.3	14.7	-2.42	11.0	14.6	-3.56
Kris Murray	53	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-21	23	15.0	14.3	0.61	13.9	15.0	-1.11
Rayan Rupert	25	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-13	7	14.1	14.9	-0.74	13.1	14.9	-1.84
Deandre Ayton	77	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-13	7	15.0	13.5	1.51	15.2	11.8	3.41
Anfernee Simons	71	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-14	9	14.6	14.8	-0.15	15.4	11.7	3.73
Jabari Walker	36	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-7	-5	15.1	14.4	0.68	13.3	15.0	-1.70
Toumani Camara	69	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-9	-1	14.7	14.5	0.21	14.7	13.7	0.98
Duop Reath	19	20	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.05	-13	-6	-7	13.7	14.9	-1.23	12.0	15.0	-3.03
Scoot Henderson	52	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.24	-24	5	-29	14.8	14.6	0.19	14.6	14.2	0.39
Dalano Banton	87	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.13	-21	2	-23	14.5	16.0	-1.51	14.6	13.4	1.14

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Alvarado	64	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.10	23	-4	27	14.0	15.1	-1.13	14.3	15.4	-1.07
Zion Williamson	73	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.06	21	-2	23	13.8	16.2	-2.36	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Naji Marshall	49	49	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.06	15	4	11	13.1	15.7	-2.56	14.8	14.6	0.24
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	45	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	2	15	13.5	15.2	-1.70	14.3	15.0	-0.74
Brandon Ingram	69	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	7	5	15.3	12.4	2.94	15.3	13.1	2.14
Trey Murphy III	70	70	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	12	-5	14.9	13.3	1.61	14.3	15.5	-1.14
Jordan Hawkins	15	12	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	13	-7	12.8	14.7	-1.90	12.8	14.9	-2.10
CJ McCollum	72	74	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	13	-7	15.1	12.5	2.61	15.2	13.2	1.92
Jonas Valanciunas	38	38	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.09	-12	31	-43	15.8	13.5	2.32	15.3	14.3	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.8%
TOR 79, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CLE 88, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%