NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	123		Excitement	4.7 [854]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +24.9%
Utah Jazz	107		Comeback	1.3 [1035]		LVP	Brice Sensabaugh (UTA): -5.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.19	0.09	0.03	25	66%	0.28	3	-0.03	8	100%	0.02
Luke Kornet	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	7	67%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Derrick White	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.00	0.02	17	69%	0.15	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	13	54%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JD Davison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	12	38%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	12	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.00	3	133%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	18	58%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.01	0.07	17	68%	0.07	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Luka Samanic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	16	61%	0.06	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	23.6	15.3	25.4	2.4	26.5	119.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +16.3%

BOS +10.4%

BOS +12.1%

BOS +8.9%

BOS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	14.5	135.2	115.1	113.9
season	14.9	14.7		120.7	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.7		119.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.6	14.3	17.8	18.0	16.1
UTA	14.2	16.3	14.3	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	68	69	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	1	14	15.7	17.2	-1.54	15.5	14.5	1.01
Sam Hauser	66	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	2	12	15.9	16.5	-0.63	15.5	14.6	0.93
Xavier Tillman	48	47	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	2	12	16.8	15.2	1.62	16.5	13.9	2.60
Luke Kornet	56	57	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	6	4	15.2	17.5	-2.26	15.6	14.6	1.04
Jayson Tatum	66	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	8	0	15.9	16.5	-0.57	14.1	18.4	-4.26
Jrue Holiday	72	74	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	9	-2	16.3	15.0	1.35	14.6	17.8	-3.26
Payton Pritchard	45	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	2	12	16.2	16.0	0.22	16.3	14.2	2.08
Jaden Springer	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	24.0	16.0	8.02	8.0	15.3	-7.33
Svi Mykhailiuk	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	24.0	16.0	8.02	8.0	15.3	-7.33
JD Davison	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	24.0	16.0	8.02	8.0	15.3	-7.33
Oshae Brissett	31	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	18	-20	16.4	15.9	0.54	14.7	15.5	-0.85

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Samanic	30	31	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-21	26	12.9	16.3	-3.42	16.3	15.9	0.39
Brice Sensabaugh	44	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-17	18	14.7	15.7	-0.99	16.8	15.4	1.46
Kris Dunn	49	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-17	18	14.4	16.2	-1.73	15.6	16.6	-0.97
John Collins	57	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-12	8	13.9	17.4	-3.54	16.5	15.4	1.04
Micah Potter	25	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-11	6	17.5	14.4	3.05	15.6	16.2	-0.66
Collin Sexton	60	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-8	0	14.7	16.3	-1.64	16.7	15.0	1.67
Talen Horton-Tucker	33	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	-5	-6	16.7	14.4	2.29	15.4	16.4	-1.01
Walker Kessler	36	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-4	-8	17.4	13.9	3.54	15.4	16.5	-1.04
Jordan Clarkson	63	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.07	-21	5	-26	16.3	12.9	3.42	15.9	16.3	-0.39
Keyonte George	68	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	0.11	-26	10	-36	15.1	15.5	-0.37	15.9	16.7	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 117, NOP 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.6%
CLE 84, NJN 62	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
POR 111, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.3,0.28,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%