NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	123		Excitement	6.2 [567]		MVP	Jalen Green (HOU): +16.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	4.4 [488]		LVP	Ashton Hagans (POR): -9.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Green	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.06	0.03	19	67%	0.22	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Fred VanVleet	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.01	13	60%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Amen Thompson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	10	73%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alperen Sengun	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	15	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.04
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	62%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jock Landale	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Aaron Holiday	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	13	62%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Moses Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	6	33%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Minaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	14	66%	0.13	6	-0.16	7	71%	-0.01
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.04	27	48%	0.00	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Rayan Rupert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	46%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Ashton Hagans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	6	43%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	22.1	14.7	32.6	1.8	28.2	125.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.1%

HOU +2.9%

POR -12.7%

HOU +24.7%

HOU +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	14.2	14.9	14.5	125.5	107.0	113.9
season	14.2	14.8		113.2	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.6		116.2	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.9	13.9	12.5	15.6	14.2
POR	16.4	14.9	14.1	14.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Whitmore	50	51	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.13	19	-3	22	12.7	15.7	-3.07	15.5	14.3	1.20
Amen Thompson	54	55	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.04	24	-8	32	13.6	14.9	-1.36	15.2	14.6	0.59
Jabari Smith Jr.	79	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	5	6	14.5	12.7	1.86	14.7	15.9	-1.27
Aaron Holiday	29	29	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	10	-4	14.4	14.1	0.33	16.0	14.5	1.50
Jock Landale	27	29	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.01	10	6	4	13.1	14.6	-1.48	15.6	14.6	1.02
Fred VanVleet	71	75	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.10	12	4	8	13.8	15.1	-1.33	14.6	15.9	-1.36
Jalen Green	71	69	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	14	-12	14.7	12.7	2.04	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Nate Williams	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	16.0	14.1	1.87	13.3	14.9	-1.62
Alperen Sengun	64	63	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	14	-12	14.9	12.9	1.95	14.9	14.9	-0.03
Dillon Brooks	42	44	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	22	-28	15.1	13.5	1.64	14.7	15.1	-0.35

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Minaya	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	10.5	15.0	-4.49	16.0	14.1	1.87
Duop Reath	64	66	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-13	10	14.5	15.7	-1.20	15.8	10.9	4.87
Kris Murray	67	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-13	10	14.7	15.4	-0.69	15.3	11.7	3.62
Toumani Camara	65	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-13	10	14.6	15.5	-0.95	13.5	15.3	-1.73
Dalano Banton	83	78	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.01	-9	-7	-2	14.8	15.4	-0.55	13.5	16.7	-3.16
Moses Brown	22	20	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-9	2	17.0	14.3	2.75	10.7	15.1	-4.38
Rayan Rupert	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-8	0	14.2	15.6	-1.40	13.7	14.6	-0.93
Anfernee Simons	71	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	-2	-12	15.2	14.2	0.93	14.3	14.0	0.26
Ashton Hagans	36	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-5	-6	15.3	14.7	0.59	14.8	13.8	0.96
Matisse Thybulle	41	40	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.07	-22	6	-28	15.8	14.3	1.49	13.4	14.7	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.37,0.45,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 115, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0	94.2%
IND 97, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.16,0	93.2%
MIN 77, UTA 66	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.3,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.1%