NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	122		Excitement	7.5 [364]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +43.4%
Houston Rockets	116		Comeback	9.5 [287]		LVP	Alperen Sengun (HOU): -12.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.19	0.27	0.02	18	68%	0.43	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Paul George	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.27	0.07	0.20	-0.01	15	64%	0.31	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Terance Mann	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.18	0.01	0.02	5	125%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Norman Powell	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	9	60%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
James Harden	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	13	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Daniel Theis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.12
Ivica Zubac	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.00	11	73%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	15	57%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	10	55%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Green	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	14	52%	0.05	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	14	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	19	50%	-0.05	3	-0.07	8	37%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.4	28.5	15.7	30.1	3.3	35.3	140.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +50.9%

LAC +17.3%

HOU -14.4%

HOU -2.6%

HOU -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	15.0	15.7	14.5	129.8	123.4	113.9
season	14.9	14.2		116.6	113.2
opponent	14.6	14.4		112.2	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.9	13.4	16.5	14.4	15.0
HOU	16.1	12.7	16.2	18.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	35	35	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.36	13	-7	20	16.3	14.2	2.07	18.5	14.0	4.47
Kawhi Leonard	75	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-3	12	15.2	14.1	1.13	15.8	15.2	0.66
Paul George	77	77	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-3	12	14.9	15.4	-0.55	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Norman Powell	57	57	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.43	5	1	4	14.1	16.3	-2.21	15.3	16.3	-0.97
James Harden	76	75	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-2	10	15.2	14.1	1.05	16.0	14.3	1.78
Terance Mann	55	53	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	-2	10	15.7	13.9	1.72	15.2	16.3	-1.09
Daniel Theis	17	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	7	-8	14.8	15.0	-0.24	16.1	15.6	0.46
Bones Hyland	21	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	9	-12	14.2	15.2	-0.99	14.8	16.0	-1.19
Amir Coffey	25	27	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.04	-5	11	-16	14.4	15.2	-0.81	15.2	15.9	-0.70
Ivica Zubac	33	32	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.10	-13	19	-32	14.6	15.1	-0.54	13.8	16.6	-2.83

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amen Thompson	36	35	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.01	5	-11	16	15.7	15.7	-0.02	14.8	15.1	-0.25
Aaron Holiday	17	17	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.06	7	-13	20	12.5	16.4	-3.85	13.4	15.3	-1.96
Jae'Sean Tate	12	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	-2	-2	13.4	16.0	-2.60	14.1	15.1	-1.02
Cam Whitmore	47	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-5	4	15.3	16.0	-0.72	14.6	15.3	-0.73
Jock Landale	10	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	2	-10	15.8	15.7	0.13	12.7	15.3	-2.53
Alperen Sengun	84	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.44	2	-8	10	15.7	15.8	-0.13	15.3	12.7	2.53
Jalen Green	61	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.44	1	-7	8	16.0	15.0	1.00	15.0	15.0	-0.02
Fred VanVleet	77	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-5	4	15.4	16.8	-1.39	15.3	13.5	1.80
Dillon Brooks	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	5	-16	15.9	14.8	1.18	15.5	12.9	2.64
Jabari Smith Jr.	53	55	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.29	-20	14	-34	17.1	13.8	3.33	14.8	15.2	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.1,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, CHH 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.55,0.33,0.27,0	91.5%
WAS 85, NJN 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.04,0	91.1%
LAC 74, POR 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	91.1%