inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 117 Excitement7.8 [296] MVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN): +29.1%
Denver Nuggets 107 Comeback6.9 [123] LVPNikola Jokic (DEN): -26.8%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Grayson Allen0.190,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.27-0.020.051587%0.1900.002100%0.01
Drew Eubanks0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.100.060.013100%0.1500.004100%0.02
Kevin Durant0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.23,-0.33,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.130.093448%0.122-0.06580%0.00
David Roddy0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001100%0.0400.001100%0.00
Bradley Beal0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.050.06-0.031842%0.092-0.052100%0.01
Bol Bol0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Saben Lee0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.01-0.00350%0.0000.002100%0.01
Jusuf Nurkic-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.01470%0.043-0.05250%-0.01
Royce O'Neale-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.040.00944%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Eric Gordon-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.00722%-0.071-0.02450%-0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.090.220.01692%0.321-0.0300%0.00
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.00387%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.020.052554%0.143-0.132100%0.01
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.09,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.030.021856%0.072-0.0700%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00233%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00625%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Peyton Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00825%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.010.021033%-0.061-0.0210%-0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.02-0.190.051858%0.057-0.32771%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.13.533.515.424.63.428.81.79.0143.8
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.42.415.0135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +8.4%
PHX +2.7%
DEN -0.2%
PHX +40.8%
DEN -1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXDENNBAPHXDENNBA
this game16.314.414.5112.5103.9113.9
season14.614.9116.1116.6
opponent14.614.4111.7113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
PHX14.012.419.218.422.416.3
DEN13.715.912.115.117.314.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Grayson Allen80780.69-0.190.890.1120-103016.316.4-0.1114.614.00.51
Kevin Durant84850.57-0.070.640.1614-41816.714.62.0914.116.0-1.91
Royce O'Neale74750.500.000.500.1512-21416.815.01.8114.414.40.05
Jusuf Nurkic61620.340.160.180.0891814.718.6-3.9114.414.5-0.14
Bradley Beal70670.280.220.050.1646-217.114.62.5714.813.71.17
Eric Gordon44450.240.26-0.020.0664215.017.3-2.3114.714.20.54
Drew Eubanks43410.160.34-0.180.1319-818.614.73.9114.514.40.14
David Roddy12110.090.41-0.33-0.0346-212.316.8-4.4716.214.21.96
Bol Bol2725-0.150.65-0.790.09-818-2615.116.7-1.5914.214.5-0.25
Saben Lee2526-0.220.72-0.940.13-1222-3416.616.20.4613.014.9-1.96

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Christian Braun37380.20-0.700.91-0.1512-223413.614.9-1.2616.316.30.08
Zeke Nnaji17180.04-0.540.57-0.053-131615.514.21.2516.116.3-0.21
Peyton Watson4646-0.08-0.420.35-0.111-111214.214.6-0.4215.916.6-0.75
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6666-0.14-0.360.220.10-8-2-614.015.1-1.1016.116.6-0.50
Aaron Gordon5958-0.20-0.300.090.15-122-1414.614.20.3915.417.4-1.98
Jamal Murray7983-0.23-0.270.04-0.230-101014.314.9-0.5817.112.94.24
Reggie Jackson3533-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.05-7-3-414.814.20.5213.517.6-4.02
Michael Porter Jr.7676-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.12-6-4-214.613.90.7816.316.20.10
Nikola Jokic8686-0.540.04-0.57-0.15-133-1614.215.5-1.2516.316.10.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.73,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 104, PHX 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.09,089.8%
PHX 97, SAC 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.29,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.16,0.09,089.2%
WAS 100, UTA 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.42,0.54,0.25,0.07,0.04,0.01,089.0%