NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	106		Excitement	6.9 [447]		MVP	James Harden (LAC): +34.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	113		Comeback	11.6 [205]		LVP	Norman Powell (LAC): -12.2%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.17	0.15	-0.02	16	71%	0.42	3	-0.08	9	67%	-0.02
Daniel Theis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.13	-0.03	0.09	17	71%	0.17	3	-0.15	7	43%	-0.07
Ivica Zubac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Terance Mann	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Amir Coffey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.08	-0.04	19	39%	-0.06	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Norman Powell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	8	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.22	0.10	0.05	22	72%	0.39	4	-0.13	13	100%	0.06
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.06	0.05	18	74%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.14	-0.01	4	75%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	10	57%	0.14	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	11	23%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	23.2	14.8	35.2	1.8	31.2	133.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +32.4%

MIL +10.1%

LAC -7.3%

MIL +18.1%

LAC -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIL	NBA	LAC	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	14.5	108.2	113.0	113.9
season	14.9	14.3		116.6	117.0
opponent	14.3	14.4		114.8	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.0	15.2	14.0	16.3	15.1
MIL	15.0	15.5	13.2	12.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terance Mann	41	41	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.07	6	-13	19	14.0	15.8	-1.80	13.5	14.4	-0.84
Ivica Zubac	49	48	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.10	3	-10	13	15.0	15.1	-0.10	14.4	13.7	0.70
Daniel Theis	31	31	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.03	4	-11	15	15.3	15.0	0.32	15.1	13.6	1.55
Bones Hyland	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-4	1	16.0	14.8	1.14	13.6	14.2	-0.56
Kawhi Leonard	78	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-7	7	14.4	17.8	-3.49	13.8	15.1	-1.26
James Harden	75	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-3	-1	15.0	15.4	-0.47	14.2	13.6	0.56
Norman Powell	70	71	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	5	-17	15.0	15.2	-0.25	14.0	14.2	-0.20
Paul George	72	75	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.33	-12	5	-17	15.8	12.9	2.92	14.1	13.8	0.25
Amir Coffey	52	53	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.33	-17	10	-27	15.7	14.4	1.32	13.8	14.3	-0.47

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
AJ Green	46	44	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.36	14	-7	21	14.0	14.0	-0.02	16.2	14.1	2.10
Bobby Portis	63	62	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.33	14	-7	21	13.3	15.3	-2.05	15.6	14.1	1.47
Patrick Beverley	72	70	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-1	9	14.3	13.4	0.93	15.2	14.7	0.55
Damian Lillard	87	86	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	1	5	13.8	15.7	-1.91	14.7	17.5	-2.77
Brook Lopez	66	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	4	-1	13.5	15.0	-1.43	14.1	17.0	-2.95
Danilo Gallinari	32	31	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	3	1	15.2	13.5	1.79	17.3	14.0	3.25
Malik Beasley	60	60	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	10	-13	14.2	13.7	0.51	14.2	16.4	-2.12
Pat Connaughton	37	36	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	11	-15	13.6	14.3	-0.69	15.4	14.9	0.55
Jae Crowder	37	36	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.03	-7	14	-21	15.3	13.3	2.05	14.1	15.6	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.61,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 106, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.35,0.31,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.98,1	92.3%
PHI 98, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.22,0.33,0.17,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.94,0.99,1	91.9%
PHX 102, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.46,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	91.5%