NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	6.3 [552]		MVP	Victor Wembanyama (SAS): +36.1%
San Antonio Spurs	117		Comeback	1.4 [379]		LVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): -16.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. McConnell	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.05	0.04	15	87%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	17	62%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.04	8	45%	0.07	0	0.00	13	69%	-0.00
Myles Turner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	17	47%	0.16	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	16	33%	-0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.18	0.17	-0.01	17	76%	0.44	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.12	-0.02	13	65%	0.23	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	13	64%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	90%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	8	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Sidy Cissoko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	20	40%	0.04	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	27.3	15.2	27.9	1.8	34.2	134.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +52.1%

SAS +4.6%

IND -6.0%

IND -2.2%

SAS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAS	NBA	IND	SAS	NBA
this game	13.9	14.6	14.5	104.0	115.8	113.9
season	13.8	13.9		120.0	108.6
opponent	14.3	14.7		115.2	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.2	12.6	16.3	14.9	13.9
SAS	14.5	14.1	13.7	16.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Brown	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	23.0	13.8	9.21	23.0	14.5	8.45
Obi Toppin	34	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-12	12	13.6	14.0	-0.49	15.9	14.0	1.88
Jalen Smith	25	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-10	8	12.9	14.2	-1.28	15.3	14.4	0.86
T.J. McConnell	54	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-11	10	13.6	14.1	-0.50	15.5	13.5	2.05
Aaron Nesmith	57	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-7	2	13.9	13.9	0.03	14.8	14.5	0.31
Andrew Nembhard	47	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-1	-10	14.1	13.6	0.50	13.5	15.5	-2.05
Myles Turner	64	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-5	-2	13.9	13.8	0.07	14.0	15.8	-1.78
Bennedict Mathurin	66	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-7	2	13.4	14.9	-1.49	15.2	13.7	1.46
Tyrese Haliburton	78	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	2	-16	14.2	12.8	1.37	14.0	16.7	-2.72
Pascal Siakam	79	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	3	-18	14.3	12.4	1.94	14.4	15.4	-0.98

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Wembanyama	66	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.01	19	-7	26	14.3	15.3	-1.00	14.9	12.0	2.84
Tre Jones	62	64	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.00	16	-4	20	14.0	15.7	-1.68	14.4	12.9	1.52
Devin Vassell	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	-2	16	14.1	16.7	-2.68	13.7	14.7	-1.02
Jeremy Sochan	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	1	10	14.1	16.1	-2.07	14.0	13.5	0.49
Keldon Johnson	57	58	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	6	0	15.1	14.0	1.12	13.8	13.9	-0.09
Malaki Branham	64	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	10	-8	15.0	14.1	0.91	14.2	13.4	0.79
Cedi Osman	30	29	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	10	-8	15.4	14.3	1.09	13.3	14.1	-0.85
Blake Wesley	40	38	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	16	-20	15.8	13.8	2.01	13.2	14.3	-1.12
Zach Collins	33	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	18	-24	15.5	14.2	1.31	11.9	14.8	-2.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.71,0.66,0.85,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.89,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.5%
GSW 99, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	92.2%
GSW 72, NJN 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	91.9%