NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	5.3 [727]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +12.6%
Detroit Pistons	106		Comeback	1.2 [1043]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -21.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.03	-0.02	10	68%	0.12	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	26	52%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Tarlac	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid El-Amin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bryce Drew	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Fizer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	13	64%	0.05	5	-0.13	7	71%	-0.02
Metta World Peace	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	8	68%	0.06	6	-0.20	6	83%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	13	73%	0.17	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	6	87%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	86%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	11	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	0.00	22	42%	-0.12	2	-0.09	15	73%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	28.6	15.7	22.0	1.5	35.6	133.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +22.6%

DET +0.8%

CHI -3.7%

DET +27.7%

DET +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	16.5	14.7	15.5	101.1	114.0	100.9
season	16.4	14.3		95.2	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		99.6	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.2	15.6	16.8	16.2	16.5
DET	12.2	17.1	15.1	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Tarlac	2	3	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-14	15	13.0	16.6	-3.57	16.3	14.6	1.73
Jamal Crawford	13	13	0.01	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-16	19	16.9	16.4	0.51	14.8	14.6	0.22
Bryce Drew	15	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-7	1	19.9	15.8	4.12	13.2	14.9	-1.70
Corey Benjamin	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	-6	-1	16.3	16.5	-0.26	14.3	14.7	-0.47
Brad Miller	6	6	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.15	-11	-2	-9	19.5	16.3	3.22	16.3	14.5	1.79
Khalid El-Amin	22	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	-4	-5	14.5	17.1	-2.55	12.2	15.5	-3.30
Marcus Fizer	28	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.08	-5	-8	3	15.2	17.0	-1.78	13.7	15.1	-1.35
Elton Brand	74	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-8	3	17.1	14.1	3.03	14.9	13.8	1.02
Fred Hoiberg	81	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-11	9	16.2	18.8	-2.65	14.8	13.5	1.36
Metta World Peace	59	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-5	-3	16.6	16.3	0.24	15.6	13.0	2.57
Michael Ruffin	54	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-8	3	16.3	16.7	-0.42	14.5	14.8	-0.27
Ron Mercer	88	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	-2	-9	16.5	16.7	-0.27	14.8	11.4	3.44

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	82	80	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.05	17	-4	21	15.0	12.3	2.70	16.4	17.0	-0.59
Joe Smith	68	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-2	17	14.8	14.4	0.40	16.3	17.1	-0.80
Michael Curry	67	66	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.10	19	-6	25	14.4	15.3	-0.90	16.1	17.5	-1.46
Chucky Atkins	64	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-5	23	15.2	13.4	1.86	15.8	18.0	-2.16
Ben Wallace	70	70	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	4	5	15.4	12.5	2.84	16.5	16.5	-0.01
Eric Montross	28	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	10	-7	12.8	15.4	-2.62	15.7	16.8	-1.16
Mateen Cleaves	29	30	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	17	-21	13.2	15.3	-2.06	17.5	16.0	1.45
Mikki Moore	20	19	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	14	-15	14.4	14.7	-0.33	18.4	16.0	2.37
Dana Barros	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	18	-23	13.4	15.1	-1.71	18.8	15.6	3.23
Billy Owens	11	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	19	-25	17.1	14.3	2.76	15.3	16.7	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.89,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 105, BOS 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,1	94.1%
DEN 91, DAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.3%
NYK 88, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%