NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	105		Excitement	6.3 [604]		MVP	Marcus Morris (BOS): +14.5%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	1.2 [1145]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -9.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Acy	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.05	0.06	0.05	21	48%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Nik Stauskas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	12	55%	0.08	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	13	43%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	12	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.07	0.01	-0.05	0.02	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	7	94%	0.20	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	9	67%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.01	-0.02	21	61%	0.15	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Shane Larkin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	7	45%	0.04	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	10	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	23.4	15.3	23.7	2.4	38.5	129.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +56.6%

BKN -6.5%

BOS +3.6%

BKN -5.2%

BOS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	BOS	NBA	BKN	BOS	NBA
this game	15.7	13.0	14.7	105.0	106.9	107.5
season	14.7	15.1		105.8	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.1		103.5	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.2	15.3	15.4	15.7	15.7
BOS	13.8	12.3	13.4	12.6	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	17	18	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.11	5	-8	13	13.3	16.1	-2.85	13.3	13.0	0.33
Quincy Acy	51	51	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.49	17	-20	37	14.5	16.9	-2.39	13.9	12.1	1.84
Caris LeVert	64	65	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.35	10	-13	23	14.2	18.3	-4.13	13.0	13.1	-0.11
Joe Harris	47	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-2	1	15.1	16.1	-1.00	11.7	14.3	-2.60
Jarrett Allen	36	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	7	-17	15.8	15.6	0.18	11.5	13.9	-2.45
Tyler Zeller	30	30	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	7	-17	17.1	15.0	2.06	13.2	12.9	0.32
DeMarre Carroll	60	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	9	-21	16.6	14.2	2.48	12.7	13.4	-0.69
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	66	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	8	-19	16.0	15.1	0.87	13.7	11.8	1.98
Spencer Dinwiddie	60	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	2	-7	16.3	14.7	1.56	13.3	12.5	0.84
Allen Crabbe	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-5	7	16.5	13.8	2.64	13.3	12.5	0.79

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aron Baynes	46	46	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	-9	21	14.1	12.1	1.98	16.0	15.3	0.71
Marcus Morris	38	36	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.08	12	-9	21	11.4	14.0	-2.59	16.5	15.2	1.36
Kyrie Irving	71	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	-4	11	13.5	11.8	1.72	15.1	17.1	-1.98
Al Horford	64	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	-1	5	12.7	13.5	-0.79	16.2	14.7	1.56
Jayson Tatum	68	68	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.36	-3	6	-9	12.9	13.2	-0.26	16.2	14.5	1.75
Jaylen Brown	70	70	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.26	0	3	-3	13.8	11.3	2.53	15.5	16.1	-0.58
Marcus Smart	63	61	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.39	-5	8	-13	12.2	14.3	-2.14	15.5	15.9	-0.47
Terry Rozier	52	51	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.33	-6	9	-15	12.2	13.8	-1.61	15.4	15.9	-0.51
Daniel Theis	22	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	0	3	13.3	12.9	0.34	13.8	16.2	-2.44
Shane Larkin	11	11	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	12	-21	15.8	12.7	3.15	15.4	15.7	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 108, OKC 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NYK 88, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
CHI 93, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.89,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.99,1,1	94.1%