NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	89		Excitement	8.7 [192]		MVP	Norman Powell (LAC): +39.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Comeback	3.8 [226]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): -29.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.22	0.20	0.02	13	92%	0.42	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.25,0.25,0.23	0.07	0.09	-0.06	26	53%	0.32	2	-0.09	8	87%	0.06
Terance Mann	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	0.02	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.04	-0.04	16	43%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Ivica Zubac	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	7	29%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26	-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	10	17%	-0.24	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	4	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	-0.00	7	75%	0.16	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.02	-0.07	7	17%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	0.06	-0.23	0.01	20	59%	-0.01	3	-0.18	6	100%	0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.34,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.3	-0.30	-0.04	-0.25	0.02	18	47%	-0.17	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	23.5	14.4	33.7	1.6	32.6	132.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.2%

LAC +7.0%

MIN -24.4%

LAC +30.7%

LAC +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	16.3	14.5	96.7	94.6	113.9
season	14.9	14.9		116.6	114.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		108.3	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	12.0	17.6	14.1	14.8
MIN	14.7	17.5	16.0	17.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	55	56	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-18	37	14.5	15.2	-0.77	15.4	17.8	-2.39
Paul George	67	67	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.56	2	-1	3	14.9	14.4	0.53	16.7	15.5	1.12
Daniel Theis	56	59	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-13	27	14.5	15.3	-0.81	15.8	17.3	-1.45
James Harden	63	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.69	-10	11	-21	14.9	14.6	0.24	17.2	14.6	2.60
Kawhi Leonard	72	73	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.62	-11	12	-23	14.9	14.4	0.43	16.4	16.0	0.44
Amir Coffey	49	48	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	-7	15	14.4	15.2	-0.80	15.9	16.8	-0.88
Bones Hyland	29	29	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.22	11	-10	21	14.6	14.9	-0.24	14.6	17.2	-2.60
Ivica Zubac	35	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	12	-23	15.6	14.3	1.37	17.3	15.8	1.45
Terance Mann	34	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.36	-17	18	-35	15.0	14.7	0.34	17.7	15.6	2.11

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Anderson	30	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	4	-9	14.9	17.0	-2.08	14.8	14.8	0.02
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	41	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.20	-14	13	-27	16.3	16.4	-0.09	14.1	15.3	-1.24
Naz Reid	44	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.28	-18	17	-35	15.2	17.4	-2.25	13.8	15.7	-1.92
Mike Conley	52	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.50	8	-9	17	16.6	16.0	0.53	15.5	13.8	1.63
Jaden McDaniels	62	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.47	7	-8	15	17.3	14.4	2.89	14.8	14.7	0.12
Monte Morris	22	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	8	-17	15.4	16.6	-1.22	15.0	14.7	0.22
Anthony Edwards	71	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.59	10	-11	21	16.3	16.4	-0.03	14.7	14.9	-0.17
Karl-Anthony Towns	63	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.68	12	-13	25	17.1	14.8	2.23	15.3	13.8	1.50
Rudy Gobert	79	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.54	4	-5	9	16.4	15.9	0.57	15.0	13.9	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.35,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.41,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.47,0.59,0.58,0.47,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.31,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 82, GSW 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.29,0.25,0.04,0	91.1%
BOS 87, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.6,0.53,0.31,0.21,0.06,0.15,0	90.5%
WAS 89, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.44,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.25,0.22,0.05,0.04,0	90.4%