NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	89		Excitement	8.0 [263]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +27.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Comeback	3.5 [168]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -42.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.28	0.07	0.20	-0.01	14	64%	0.33	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.02
Caron Butler	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	19	52%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.00	7	35%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	24	51%	0.13	2	-0.09	11	64%	-0.06
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	1	83%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Billy Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Jared Jeffries	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	11	18%	-0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	12	92%	0.29	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	3	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	16	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	13	30%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	8	12%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.38,-0.43,-0.37,-0.36,-0.44,-0.43	-0.43	-0.25	-0.22	-0.04	25	40%	-0.17	10	-0.26	15	73%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	3.6	31.2	19.4	30.2	3.8	55.0	170.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +63.0%

CLE -9.9%

CLE -17.6%

WAS +17.1%

CLE -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.4	16.9	15.6	95.7	92.3	104.4
season	15.1	16.2		107.4	105.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.3	14.5	15.8	13.1	14.4
CLE	15.0	20.1	16.2	16.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	72	69	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-11	27	13.5	17.4	-3.89	17.5	15.0	2.58
Gilbert Arenas	92	89	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	-2	9	14.3	21.0	-6.65	16.7	28.5	-11.85
Caron Butler	66	67	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.24	7	-2	9	14.4	14.5	-0.09	17.7	14.6	3.11
Billy Thomas	8	6	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	-2	9	9.9	14.8	-4.97	16.5	16.9	-0.44
Michael Ruffin	29	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	-6	17	13.2	15.0	-1.71	17.2	16.8	0.44
Antawn Jamison	72	71	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.39	-8	13	-21	14.7	13.5	1.22	16.4	18.7	-2.29
Brendan Haywood	56	56	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.43	-10	15	-25	15.3	13.0	2.31	15.9	18.5	-2.56
Jared Jeffries	70	70	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	10	-15	15.4	11.3	4.08	17.1	16.4	0.63

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	61	64	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.11	13	-18	31	16.2	18.4	-2.17	15.6	11.7	3.92
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.43	11	-16	27	15.5	19.1	-3.68	15.3	13.0	2.32
Anderson Varejao	23	21	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.21	-16	11	-27	21.4	15.4	5.99	12.0	15.1	-3.06
Drew Gooden	72	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.62	12	-17	29	16.4	18.8	-2.44	15.4	10.7	4.69
Damon Jones	13	13	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-2	-1	18.9	16.6	2.35	10.9	15.0	-4.06
Larry Hughes	85	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-7	9	16.0	29.3	-13.30	14.3	16.2	-1.87
Donyell Marshall	32	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	12	-29	17.3	16.7	0.67	12.6	15.4	-2.83
LeBron James	83	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.40	-2	-3	1	17.1	14.9	2.23	14.2	16.2	-2.00
Ronald Murray	31	31	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.12	-25	20	-45	19.4	15.6	3.70	13.8	14.7	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.44,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.25,0.22,0.05,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.47,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.15,0.08,0	91.9%
MIL 104, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.52,0.62,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.21,0.1,0.04,0	91.6%
CHI 96, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.25,0.22,0.06,0.02,0	91.3%