inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 104 Excitement7.5 [337] MVPCarlos Delfino (MIL): +19.9%
Toronto Raptors 98 Comeback2.7 [669] LVPDrew Gooden (MIL): -12.9%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Delfino0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.060.140.001258%0.241-0.0400%0.00
Earl Boykins0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.002117%0.0800.002100%0.01
Michael Redd0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.002125%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Brandon Jennings0.040,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.040.03-0.02-0.031857%0.053-0.01887%0.02
Andrew Bogut0.030,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03-0.010.060.021265%0.165-0.13250%-0.01
John Salmons0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.04-0.01642%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jon Brockman0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.020.0000%0.0000.0020%-0.03
Keyon Dooling-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.011100%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.030.000.01739%-0.0400.00475%0.01
Drew Gooden-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.2,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.130.02-0.100.041752%-0.022-0.11875%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.04-0.01567%0.121-0.042100%0.01
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.10-0.010.011469%0.122-0.044100%0.02
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.06-0.00450%0.0700.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.020.021559%0.102-0.064100%0.04
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00175%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Sonny Weems00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.000.011460%0.124-0.132100%0.02
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.050.011154%0.063-0.132100%0.01
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.01520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.040.01757%-0.013-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.528.215.523.52.434.4130.0
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +15.6%
TOR -5.4%
MIL +27.3%
MIL +10.4%
MIL +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILTORNBAMILTORNBA
this game16.616.315.5118.2112.6105.7
season16.215.1100.1104.7
opponent15.515.4111.2100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL18.817.215.215.216.6
TOR14.814.820.116.116.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Drew Gooden46460.74-0.240.970.3015-92416.017.2-1.1416.316.4-0.13
John Salmons74730.420.080.340.3624-216.119.1-2.9816.814.02.79
Carlos Delfino77760.420.080.340.3624-216.815.01.7916.217.6-1.48
Brandon Jennings76750.390.110.290.3324-216.119.7-3.5916.615.01.56
Andrew Bogut69680.370.130.230.3124-216.217.9-1.7616.515.70.78
Keyon Dooling11100.200.30-0.11-0.079-31216.516.6-0.1316.116.4-0.28
Jon Brockman320.140.36-0.23-0.0151416.016.6-0.5921.016.24.76
Earl Boykins12120.110.39-0.29-0.0142219.716.13.5915.016.6-1.56
Michael Redd1415-0.030.53-0.56-0.00-17-817.916.31.6215.316.6-1.30
Luc Mbah a Moute5858-0.240.74-0.980.05-1016-2617.514.82.6816.017.0-0.93

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Calderon46460.19-0.690.88-0.1010-162616.016.7-0.7317.915.12.73
James Johnson60600.07-0.570.64-0.054-101416.116.8-0.6816.317.1-0.74
Amir Johnson4747-0.06-0.440.38-0.277-132015.317.6-2.2817.415.61.84
Sonny Weems1313-0.22-0.280.060.07-104-1416.016.4-0.4118.216.31.95
Andrea Bargnani5759-0.24-0.260.02-0.447-132016.715.61.1416.317.2-0.95
Reggie Evans2525-0.25-0.250.010.11-126-1818.015.72.3815.117.1-2.02
DeMar DeRozan6363-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.361-7817.014.72.3216.018.0-1.94
Leandro Barbosa4143-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.21-71-815.417.2-1.7616.316.8-0.57
Ed Davis4545-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.04-148-2216.016.7-0.7116.916.20.66
Jerryd Bayless3839-0.780.28-1.06-0.31-1610-2617.215.71.4416.117.0-0.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.52,0.62,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.21,0.1,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 82, GSW 780.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.29,0.25,0.04,092.3%
BOS 87, MIA 820.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.6,0.53,0.31,0.21,0.06,0.15,092.2%
WAS 89, CLE 840.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.44,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.25,0.22,0.05,0.04,091.6%