NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	8.3 [233]		MVP	Jabari Walker (POR): +26.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	100		Comeback	95.2 [16]		LVP	Ziaire Williams (MEM): -14.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Walker	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.26	0.01	0.26	0.01	16	53%	0.39	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.19
Toumani Camara	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.13	0.02	10	62%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	50%	0.03
Dalano Banton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.09,0.1	-0.03	0.14	0.01	8	56%	0.17	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.04
Anfernee Simons	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.07	0.05	23	57%	0.17	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.10
Moses Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Duop Reath	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	9	55%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Matisse Thybulle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ashton Hagans	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.13	-0.05	9	62%	-0.05	6	-0.08	3	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.23	0.23	0.04	0.10	-0.10	14	66%	0.25	4	-0.01	4	75%	0.12
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.02	15	64%	0.22	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.02	2	83%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Matt Hurt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	11	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	29%	-0.08	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.12	-0.08	15	42%	-0.02	4	-0.12	10	80%	0.01
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	7	50%	-0.02	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	28.2	14.6	27.3	2.4	42.6	2.3	11.8	156.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.1	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +3.0%

POR +30.6%

POR +16.0%

POR +2.5%

MEM -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	15.1	14.2	14.5	99.1	91.7	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		106.9	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.5		113.2	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	15.7	13.2	16.0	14.5	18.7	15.1
MEM	15.0	10.8	14.0	19.0	13.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Walker	62	63	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.29	21	-14	35	14.5	15.9	-1.46	15.5	12.5	3.05
Kris Murray	75	74	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.32	10	-3	13	16.7	11.3	5.39	14.8	13.1	1.66
Anfernee Simons	89	90	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-3	13	15.7	12.1	3.60	14.3	13.9	0.35
Ashton Hagans	65	66	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	2	3	14.3	16.2	-1.92	15.1	13.0	2.12
Toumani Camara	62	62	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	5	-3	15.8	14.2	1.61	14.1	14.4	-0.33
Dalano Banton	29	28	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.28	-7	14	-21	14.5	15.3	-0.81	12.2	14.9	-2.72
Jerami Grant	32	31	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	5	-3	14.7	15.2	-0.50	14.5	14.2	0.30
Rayan Rupert	16	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	7	-7	13.4	15.4	-1.99	12.1	14.6	-2.51
Moses Brown	7	7	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	12	-17	20.7	14.7	6.03	13.4	14.3	-0.87
Matisse Thybulle	42	43	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.06	-3	10	-13	12.9	16.5	-3.63	13.6	14.7	-1.12
Duop Reath	52	54	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.10	-7	14	-21	14.0	16.1	-2.11	13.5	15.0	-1.50

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Stevens	33	33	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.09	5	-12	17	14.2	14.3	-0.12	16.3	14.5	1.81
Matt Hurt	43	41	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.01	7	-14	21	13.7	14.6	-0.97	11.9	17.0	-5.11
John Konchar	40	38	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.17	-1	-6	5	15.0	13.8	1.24	13.0	16.2	-3.16
Jake LaRavia	33	31	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-5	3	14.0	14.3	-0.34	11.8	16.4	-4.63
Ziaire Williams	67	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-12	17	14.2	14.4	-0.19	16.3	13.1	3.15
Luke Kennard	59	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-4	1	13.7	14.9	-1.22	14.2	16.1	-1.92
GG Jackson	66	64	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.44	-5	-2	-3	13.9	14.7	-0.84	14.3	16.2	-1.98
Jordan Goodwin	59	60	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.26	-12	5	-17	14.7	13.7	0.96	16.4	13.5	2.91
Vince Williams Jr.	73	74	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.35	-12	5	-17	14.5	13.8	0.69	16.4	12.1	4.27
Santi Aldama	72	73	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.24	-17	10	-27	14.5	13.6	0.89	16.6	11.8	4.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 114, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.84,0.54,0.53,0.15,0.03,0.02,0	92.0%
LAL 146, DEN 141	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.89,0.99,0.98,1,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.15,0	91.0%
HOU 111, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.54,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.42,0	90.1%