inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 146 Excitement9.2 [115] MVPAustin Reaves (LAL): +46.2%
Denver Nuggets 141 Comeback587.2 [2] LVPMac McClung (LAL): -23.8%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Austin Reaves0.460,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.24,0.36,0.460.120.370.031765%0.523-0.0614100%0.05
Wayne Ellington0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.150.080.011082%0.2200.002100%0.07
Malik Monk0.190,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.24-0.000.052573%0.283-0.096100%0.03
Talen Horton-Tucker0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.02-0.01848%0.051-0.02580%-0.00
Stanley Johnson-0.020,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.05-0.040.03968%0.072-0.084100%0.02
Wenyen Gabriel-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.040.001345%-0.0300.00540%-0.04
Mason Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.05-0.050.04364%-0.0400.00887%0.01
D.J. Augustin-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.01420%-0.042-0.052100%0.01
Mac McClung-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24-0.01-0.170.06555%-0.042-0.201100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.090.05-0.01785%0.213-0.06683%0.01
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.120.010.02889%0.131-0.032100%0.01
Bryn Forbes0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.070.070.16-0.070.021469%0.171-0.107100%0.07
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.00769%0.071-0.02250%-0.01
Bones Hyland0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.021552%0.072-0.033100%0.02
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.00750%0.0200.0000%0.00
Facundo Campazzo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.03437%0.0110.0000%0.00
Markus Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.21,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09-0.090.12-0.170.031760%-0.0900.00887%0.07
Vlatko Cancar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.06-0.01233%-0.071-0.0220%-0.11
Davon Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15-0.150.01-0.150.011061%-0.073-0.0830%-0.23
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.08-0.08-0.01924%-0.131-0.023100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.72.042.514.829.32.330.52.418.3167.0
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.32.315.4134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +66.0%
LAL +1.0%
DEN -4.6%
DEN -14.2%
LAL +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game14.013.814.5127.0123.7110.8
season14.314.8109.5113.4
opponent14.414.2111.6112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
LAL16.613.713.512.613.714.0
DEN12.914.511.715.514.813.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mac McClung48480.84-0.341.190.589-41313.714.2-0.4613.613.9-0.30
Wenyen Gabriel80820.75-0.250.990.3414-92313.714.7-0.9214.412.12.27
Austin Reaves92900.72-0.220.940.3712-71913.715.4-1.7214.112.51.54
Mason Jones53530.69-0.190.870.516-1713.814.2-0.4912.514.8-2.33
Stanley Johnson1021000.54-0.040.570.4241313.915.2-1.2814.111.52.57
Talen Horton-Tucker2626-0.030.53-0.560.03-27-916.813.23.6613.813.70.02
D.J. Augustin3434-0.230.73-0.97-0.09-510-1514.114.00.1011.514.7-3.17
Malik Monk7472-0.360.86-1.22-0.21-510-1514.513.11.4314.312.71.61
Wayne Ellington6665-0.410.91-1.32-0.17-813-2113.714.4-0.6513.713.9-0.22

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Austin Rivers48500.34-0.841.170.0111-162713.314.1-0.7614.613.61.00
Jeff Green49510.33-0.831.160.0111-162713.613.8-0.2114.713.51.27
Bones Hyland50520.29-0.791.080.087-121913.613.9-0.3114.513.70.81
JaMychal Green48490.20-0.700.900.23-1-4313.414.0-0.6914.813.41.43
DeMarcus Cousins50490.13-0.630.760.101-6715.112.72.4714.613.61.00
Facundo Campazzo19190.11-0.610.72-0.045-101512.114.1-1.9815.813.72.19
Bryn Forbes7877-0.570.07-0.65-0.48-3-2-114.113.10.9413.714.6-0.92
Vlatko Cancar5254-0.810.31-1.11-0.51-105-1513.014.4-1.3513.314.7-1.39
Zeke Nnaji5958-0.820.32-1.13-0.43-138-2113.414.2-0.7913.414.7-1.29
Markus Howard5252-0.840.34-1.19-0.35-1712-2914.513.11.3712.815.0-2.21
Davon Reed6564-0.860.36-1.21-0.39-1611-2714.013.40.5713.614.5-0.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.89,0.99,0.98,1,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 111, DET 1090.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.71,0.72,0.84,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.43,0.28,089.8%
HOU 88, LAL 1040.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,189.5%
MIL 85, SAS 960.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,189.5%