inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 120 Excitement6.2 [573] MVPJonathan Kuminga (GSW): +16.6%
Toronto Raptors 105 Comeback2.0 [649] LVPImmanuel Quickley (TOR): -16.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonathan Kuminga0.170,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.060.09-0.021955%0.202-0.046100%0.03
Moses Moody0.110,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.01-0.011365%0.151-0.0400%0.00
Stephen Curry0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.02-0.042257%0.154-0.0600%0.00
Chris Paul0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.020.031065%0.0700.0000%0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.01475%0.0500.00475%-0.01
Gary Payton II0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jerome Robinson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.020.031354%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Lester Quinones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.00643%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Dario Saric-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kevon Looney-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.0110%-0.031-0.0220%-0.02
Draymond Green-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.05-0.00450%0.023-0.124100%0.02

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
RJ Barrett0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.050.011568%0.172-0.04475%-0.01
D.J. Carton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.040.00283%0.0800.002100%0.01
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.02-0.021059%0.102-0.03771%0.01
Scottie Barnes0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01771%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Ochai Agbaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.00-0.02333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Javon Freeman-Liberty00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Nwora00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gradey Dick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.05-0.010.041155%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Gary Trent Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.01-0.031432%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Boucher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01540%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.010.011045%-0.022-0.0620%-0.02
Immanuel Quickley0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.10-0.040.021537%-0.083-0.08250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.025.514.828.22.533.2130.4
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +28.4%
GSW +7.2%
GSW +16.4%
TOR -0.6%
TOR -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWTORNBAGSWTORNBA
this game14.513.114.5114.3101.0113.9
season14.314.0116.2111.3
opponent14.714.4117.6114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.415.214.815.914.5
TOR11.612.514.614.113.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Moses Moody72730.460.040.42-0.0417-21913.217.2-3.9713.013.4-0.37
Draymond Green65660.430.070.350.13105512.617.5-4.9613.013.3-0.30
Stephen Curry69690.410.090.310.05123913.117.1-3.9513.113.10.06
Lester Quinones46440.320.180.14-0.061321115.813.42.3213.712.70.98
Jonathan Kuminga62620.270.230.030.12510-513.615.7-2.1413.412.70.64
Trayce Jackson-Davis32310.220.28-0.06-0.0287116.513.62.9413.013.1-0.14
Klay Thompson68680.200.30-0.090.20015-1514.015.3-1.3412.514.2-1.76
Chris Paul48470.110.39-0.27-0.03510-516.912.44.4913.712.61.03
Kevon Looney19190.090.41-0.330.03213-1116.314.02.2714.612.81.81
Gary Payton II30280.040.46-0.430.04015-1517.213.43.7912.013.5-1.45
Jerome Robinson220.000.50-0.50-0.15510-512.014.5-2.5011.013.1-2.14
Dario Saric1211-0.040.54-0.570.02-217-1917.714.03.6212.813.1-0.31

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Scottie Barnes36390.11-0.610.71-0.076-212712.013.7-1.7213.515.0-1.50
Javon Freeman-Liberty22-0.00-0.500.500.15-5-10511.013.1-2.1412.014.5-2.50
Jalen McDaniels22-0.00-0.500.500.15-5-10511.013.1-2.1412.014.5-2.50
Jordan Nwora22-0.00-0.500.500.15-5-10511.013.1-2.1412.014.5-2.50
Bruce Brown4645-0.06-0.430.37-0.04-1-141313.113.1-0.0217.012.54.49
Chris Boucher89-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-151513.513.10.4419.814.05.82
D.J. Carton1312-0.15-0.350.200.11-9-6-313.313.10.2418.214.04.28
Gary Trent Jr.6971-0.17-0.330.17-0.170-151512.813.8-1.0213.616.2-2.54
Kelly Olynyk5557-0.25-0.250.01-0.10-5-10514.611.43.1515.912.73.26
RJ Barrett7372-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.14-7-8112.813.8-1.0113.217.1-3.89
Ochai Agbaji2020-0.35-0.15-0.200.18-183-2114.612.71.8613.514.7-1.18
Gradey Dick5154-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.22-6-9313.312.90.3516.612.24.32
Jakob Poeltl6159-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.08-11-4-712.514.0-1.5412.516.9-4.37
Immanuel Quickley8281-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.15-9-6-313.212.60.6413.517.7-4.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.25,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 107, DAL 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.71,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.25,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.0%
LAC 101, MEM 810.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.4%
ORL 102, IND 830.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.3%