inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 130 Excitement7.5 [362] MVPBennedict Mathurin (IND): +39.9%
Indiana Pacers 122 Comeback1.5 [327] LVPTyrese Haliburton (IND): -12.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gradey Dick0.360,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.360.190.16-0.019100%0.3600.0000%0.00
Ochai Agbaji0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.090.100.00772%0.1900.004100%0.04
RJ Barrett0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.120.050.011669%0.222-0.0630%-0.05
Jakob Poeltl0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.010.011071%0.1100.001100%0.00
Gary Trent Jr.0.030,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.030.011246%0.0300.0000%0.00
Scottie Barnes0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02-0.000.060.041851%0.093-0.075100%0.03
Immanuel Quickley0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.001659%0.114-0.1100%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,00.01-0.03-0.02458%0.001-0.00450%-0.02
Bruce Brown-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.40.400.270.150.021587%0.492-0.09978%0.02
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.160.160.100.04-0.012259%0.201-0.042100%0.01
Jalen Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.040.00764%0.0900.0000%0.00
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.01-0.00862%0.0500.0000%0.00
Myles Turner0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.05-0.040.03873%0.083-0.09667%-0.03
Jarace Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ben Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Obi Toppin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.020.01825%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Andrew Nembhard0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.030.021439%-0.052-0.0600%0.00
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.030.011132%-0.101-0.02667%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.427.714.528.21.839.4139.4
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +44.6%
TOR +2.6%
TOR +0.1%
TOR +4.4%
IND -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORINDNBATORINDNBA
this game13.814.614.5127.5120.8113.9
season14.013.8111.3120.0
opponent14.714.7117.4117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.113.313.815.113.8
IND13.614.916.213.714.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Immanuel Quickley75750.75-0.251.000.3115-72214.112.91.1814.116.0-1.85
RJ Barrett69700.70-0.200.900.3213-51814.212.81.4013.916.1-2.23
Jakob Poeltl46470.320.180.150.0310-21214.013.70.3013.815.3-1.49
Ochai Agbaji43430.310.190.120.059-11011.815.2-3.3816.113.52.59
Gary Trent Jr.66640.270.230.040.2126-414.412.61.7913.616.3-2.75
Gradey Dick46450.250.25-0.000.1635-214.813.01.8016.213.32.83
Kelly Olynyk50480.140.36-0.210.1408-812.914.7-1.8315.713.62.06
Scottie Barnes80800.010.49-0.470.13-412-1613.813.60.2614.016.7-2.63
Bruce Brown3533-0.260.76-1.02-0.03-816-2413.114.1-0.9915.914.01.92

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
T.J. McConnell40410.33-0.831.170.0410-182815.813.82.1013.214.2-1.04
Jalen Smith28300.28-0.781.050.048-162416.213.92.3013.713.8-0.18
Ben Sheppard35340.14-0.640.780.111-91016.413.62.7812.814.3-1.50
Obi Toppin38410.09-0.590.68-0.096-142014.814.40.4112.714.5-1.82
Doug McDermott1112-0.02-0.480.450.01-1-7616.014.41.5910.214.3-4.11
Jarace Walker109-0.07-0.430.360.05-4-4017.214.32.9012.114.0-1.85
Bennedict Mathurin8081-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.32-3-5214.116.6-2.5114.511.03.52
Pascal Siakam7977-0.570.07-0.64-0.22-124-1614.315.8-1.5214.212.71.48
Andrew Nembhard5758-0.670.17-0.83-0.34-113-1413.516.0-2.5914.413.01.40
Myles Turner5756-0.790.29-1.09-0.27-1810-2814.115.3-1.2214.213.30.81
Tyrese Haliburton7071-0.810.31-1.11-0.34-168-2413.916.2-2.3214.113.01.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.17,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.16,0.01,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 111, GSW 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,092.5%
HOU 102, LAC 850.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,092.1%
PHX 115, LAL 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,092.1%