NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	111		Excitement	10.2 [64]		MVP	Josh Hart (NYK): +56.7%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	6.6 [371]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -16.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Grimes	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.01	9	67%	0.48	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Malachi Flynn	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Evan Fournier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Tosan Evbuomwan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Wiseman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	11	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.13	4	-0.22	2	0%	-0.02
Simone Fontecchio	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.09	0.03	-0.14	-0.02	9	67%	0.11	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	0.12	-0.25	0.03	19	70%	0.03	5	-0.19	8	87%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Hart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.57	0.57	0.08	0.51	0.02	17	56%	0.59	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.09
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.05	-0.01	13	81%	0.35	2	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	11	59%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.03,-0.12	-0.12	0.04	-0.14	0.02	26	56%	0.02	4	-0.14	11	91%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	27.1	14.7	28.2	1.8	27.3	128.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +22.6%

DET -14.6%

NYK +21.3%

NYK +17.9%

NYK +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	14.1	16.0	14.5	116.8	117.7	113.9
season	14.2	15.6		108.4	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.3		113.0	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.3	11.7	14.2	16.6	14.1
NYK	17.0	16.0	15.1	16.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Fournier	37	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-1	0	15.7	13.1	2.64	15.5	16.4	-0.96
Jaden Ivey	50	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-6	10	12.5	15.9	-3.37	17.1	14.9	2.23
Tosan Evbuomwan	16	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	2	-6	16.9	13.6	3.32	12.3	16.7	-4.38
Malachi Flynn	23	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	3	-8	16.3	13.4	2.95	14.1	16.7	-2.54
James Wiseman	32	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	3	-8	15.3	13.5	1.85	15.4	16.4	-1.05
Jalen Duren	63	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-5	8	13.5	15.3	-1.85	16.4	15.4	1.05
Ausar Thompson	71	72	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.47	3	-5	8	13.4	16.2	-2.80	17.0	13.2	3.71
Cade Cunningham	72	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-5	8	13.4	16.3	-2.95	16.7	14.1	2.54
Quentin Grimes	45	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	4	-10	15.9	12.5	3.37	14.9	17.1	-2.23
Simone Fontecchio	66	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	0	-2	13.3	16.0	-2.66	16.2	15.7	0.53

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hartenstein	54	53	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.54	5	-3	8	16.1	16.0	0.14	14.2	14.0	0.29
Precious Achiuwa	68	68	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.38	9	-7	16	15.6	17.1	-1.47	13.8	14.9	-1.08
Jalen Brunson	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	-1	4	16.1	15.9	0.11	14.1	14.4	-0.39
Josh Hart	82	82	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.46	-1	3	-4	16.8	11.6	5.22	14.1	14.5	-0.40
Donte DiVincenzo	65	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.48	-6	8	-14	16.7	14.7	2.00	13.5	15.5	-1.98
Alec Burks	27	28	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	-6	14	14.3	16.7	-2.36	15.2	13.7	1.56
Miles McBride	21	19	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	3	-4	16.1	16.0	0.14	14.9	13.9	1.04
Jericho Sims	40	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	0	2	15.4	16.5	-1.04	14.2	14.0	0.23
Bojan Bogdanovic	44	42	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.06	-9	11	-20	15.7	16.3	-0.52	14.4	13.9	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.76,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.69,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.54,0.85,0.95,1	91.8%
MIN 105, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.91,1	91.5%
NYK 81, CHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.42,1	91.4%