NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	113		Excitement	5.8 [645]		MVP	Grayson Allen (PHX): +25.2%
Phoenix Suns	123		Comeback	1.2 [888]		LVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (LAL): -5.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	19	67%	0.16	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.03
Rui Hachimura	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	17	65%	0.15	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.03	0.03	14	69%	0.10	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Max Christie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Mays	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Windler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	12	54%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grayson Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.08	-0.05	17	67%	0.31	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.18	0.00	0.08	12	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saben Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	12	62%	0.09	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	18	52%	0.09	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Nassir Little	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	20	48%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.4	27.5	16.3	30.5	3.3	29.5	139.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +15.9%

PHX +14.3%

PHX +21.3%

LAL -4.2%

PHX +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.3	15.3	14.5	111.9	123.0	113.9
season	14.1	14.6		114.4	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.3		113.5	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.7	13.3	13.6	13.8	13.3
PHX	13.0	16.7	15.2	16.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Max Christie	9	9	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-14	18	14.9	13.2	1.69	16.6	15.2	1.36
Skylar Mays	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	13.0	13.3	-0.35	11.5	15.4	-3.90
Dylan Windler	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	13.0	13.3	-0.35	11.5	15.4	-3.90
Jaxson Hayes	11	12	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-2	-6	13.2	13.4	-0.18	13.9	15.5	-1.59
Rui Hachimura	57	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-3	-4	13.3	13.4	-0.11	15.4	15.2	0.27
Austin Reaves	76	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	0	-10	13.5	13.0	0.46	14.8	16.8	-1.97
Spencer Dinwiddie	49	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-5	0	13.1	13.6	-0.55	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Anthony Davis	89	87	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-8	6	13.3	13.3	0.01	15.5	14.0	1.52
LeBron James	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	13.4	13.3	0.11	15.0	16.5	-1.51
D'Angelo Russell	79	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-5	0	12.8	15.3	-2.52	15.8	13.7	2.11
Taurean Prince	55	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	3	-16	14.0	12.5	1.51	15.8	14.8	0.99

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royce O'Neale	79	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.08	22	-12	34	14.5	18.3	-3.81	13.5	12.9	0.62
Bol Bol	50	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	2	6	15.9	14.8	1.12	13.5	13.2	0.24
Devin Booker	81	83	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	1	8	15.1	16.2	-1.03	13.0	14.9	-1.88
Grayson Allen	78	81	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.33	-2	12	-14	15.8	13.7	2.10	13.3	13.6	-0.32
Jusuf Nurkic	80	79	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	2	6	15.1	16.1	-1.04	13.1	14.1	-0.95
Drew Eubanks	19	21	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	8	-6	16.2	15.1	1.10	14.0	13.2	0.89
Kevin Durant	83	82	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	8	-6	15.2	15.8	-0.61	13.2	13.9	-0.74
Saben Lee	17	19	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	2	6	15.8	15.2	0.61	13.9	13.2	0.74
Nassir Little	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	11.5	15.4	-3.90	13.0	13.3	-0.35
David Roddy	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	11.5	15.4	-3.90	13.0	13.3	-0.35
Josh Okogie	9	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	13	-16	18.7	15.0	3.68	15.2	13.1	2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.86,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 111, DET 122	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
PHI 91, MEM 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.83,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
GSW 100, BOS 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%