inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 106 Excitement7.4 [379] MVPHaywood Highsmith (MIA): +14.4%
New Orleans Pelicans 95 Comeback1.4 [543] LVPZion Williamson (NOP): -10.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Haywood Highsmith0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.060.080.002125%0.1400.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.040.011860%0.153-0.07450%-0.03
Jimmy Butler0.050,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.07-0.010.011264%0.133-0.081267%-0.03
Duncan Robinson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.011461%0.133-0.1000%0.00
Nikola Jovic-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Caleb Martin-0.010,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.01553%0.043-0.06560%-0.02
Jaime Jaquez Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01840%-0.0100.004100%0.04
Tyler Herro-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.040.021454%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Kevin Love-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.040.00625%-0.0800.0000%0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Herbert Jones0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.13-0.060.031086%0.142-0.112100%0.01
Larry Nance Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.010.03683%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01450%0.041-0.0420%-0.07
Naji Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
CJ McCollum0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.070.00-0.01714%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Trey Murphy III0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.031221%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Jordan Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.050.011738%-0.0700.003100%0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.021346%0.033-0.1000%0.00
Jose Alvarado0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.01928%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Zion Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.050.002246%-0.033-0.08683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.326.614.829.00.844.5146.3
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +51.3%
MIA +10.8%
NOP -14.0%
MIA +0.9%
MIA +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANOPNBAMIANOPNBA
this game14.315.614.5109.399.0113.9
season14.914.4112.3114.8
opponent14.714.8111.0111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.414.814.016.014.3
NOP14.712.319.616.715.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jimmy Butler58580.51-0.010.52-0.0519-82712.616.7-4.0515.016.4-1.39
Jaime Jaquez Jr.55540.450.050.400.2183514.813.51.2714.816.6-1.80
Tyler Herro58580.340.160.170.2829-714.513.90.5816.913.63.27
Duncan Robinson62600.330.170.150.2147-315.212.52.7015.116.3-1.16
Bam Adebayo70690.290.210.070.1165114.812.82.0116.413.62.77
Caleb Martin63620.240.26-0.030.21110-914.014.8-0.7616.214.51.63
Nikola Jovic42410.140.36-0.23-0.0774313.315.0-1.7716.215.11.07
Kevin Love35360.130.37-0.240.0438-514.314.30.0315.115.8-0.71
Haywood Highsmith42420.090.41-0.32-0.0656-114.514.10.4113.816.9-3.11

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl49480.35-0.851.20-0.1216-274314.117.1-2.9815.712.92.81
Jose Alvarado38380.21-0.710.93-0.1713-243715.115.9-0.7514.514.10.42
Jonas Valanciunas5251-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-10915.515.7-0.2714.014.6-0.57
Naji Marshall2827-0.18-0.320.140.02-7-4-314.616.0-1.3312.914.8-1.96
Jordan Hawkins4244-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.24-1-10916.215.11.0814.813.81.01
CJ McCollum3232-0.38-0.12-0.250.15-187-2515.115.8-0.7312.615.1-2.50
Herbert Jones7275-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.17-8-3-515.914.71.2214.613.11.46
Larry Nance Jr.3435-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.09-110-1116.615.01.6514.314.20.07
Trey Murphy III6263-0.620.12-0.74-0.18-154-1916.214.41.8114.214.4-0.13
Zion Williamson7172-0.750.25-1.01-0.08-2312-3515.815.00.7314.015.1-1.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.35,0.22,0.09,0.08,0.01,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 99, SAS 940.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.2,0.43,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.09,092.5%
LAL 97, UTA 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,091.6%
IND 92, SAS 820.5,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.51,0.45,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.08,0.02,0,0,091.5%