NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	126		Excitement	7.7 [332]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +37.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	133		Comeback	2.4 [968]		LVP	Bilal Coulibaly (WAS): -10.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	7	100%	0.25	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.25	-0.01	0.05	24	70%	0.28	3	-0.09	13	85%	0.04
Jordan Poole	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.09	-0.01	15	63%	0.23	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.02	15	65%	0.12	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eugene Omoruyi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.02	14	47%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Delon Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	8	40%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Bilal Coulibaly	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.22	0.19	0.03	21	71%	0.41	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.08	-0.00	17	67%	0.26	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	13	56%	0.16	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.07	-0.00	7	47%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	9	59%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	81%	0.16	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Herbert Jones	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	43%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	27.7	14.0	40.6	2.0	36.2	149.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +36.9%

WAS -0.6%

WAS -10.7%

NOP +23.5%

NOP +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NOP	NBA	WAS	NOP	NBA
this game	14.3	13.2	14.5	120.0	127.9	113.9
season	13.7	14.4		109.8	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.1		111.0	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.9	14.0	13.8	14.6	14.3
NOP	11.8	13.7	14.5	13.1	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deni Avdija	86	85	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.40	14	-21	35	13.9	15.9	-2.01	13.8	10.7	3.07
Jordan Poole	80	76	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.31	9	-16	25	14.3	14.2	0.09	12.7	14.8	-2.15
Jared Butler	6	4	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-4	1	16.5	14.2	2.33	8.2	13.4	-5.20
Marvin Bagley III	67	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-6	5	13.6	15.5	-1.83	13.9	12.2	1.72
Eugene Omoruyi	9	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	3	-13	15.9	14.2	1.73	8.1	13.8	-5.70
Richaun Holmes	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	0	-7	15.1	14.0	1.07	10.8	14.0	-3.17
Corey Kispert	69	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-9	11	13.8	15.2	-1.35	13.7	12.2	1.53
Delon Wright	7	7	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	7	-21	16.7	14.1	2.58	10.0	13.5	-3.48
Tyus Jones	83	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-7	7	14.2	14.8	-0.65	14.1	9.7	4.33
Landry Shamet	38	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	8	-23	15.1	13.9	1.17	11.6	14.1	-2.59
Bilal Coulibaly	55	55	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.29	-10	3	-13	14.7	13.8	0.93	14.5	11.9	2.56

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naji Marshall	54	54	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.24	21	-14	35	12.4	14.2	-1.87	14.7	13.9	0.75
Trey Murphy III	69	68	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.15	18	-11	29	12.8	14.1	-1.22	14.0	14.8	-0.78
Jose Alvarado	47	47	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-10	27	13.4	13.2	0.20	15.0	13.8	1.18
Herbert Jones	59	61	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	-3	13	12.8	13.9	-1.13	14.6	13.9	0.76
Zion Williamson	74	76	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	5	-3	12.6	14.8	-2.13	14.7	13.3	1.37
Larry Nance Jr.	42	43	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	11	-15	12.2	13.9	-1.70	13.4	14.9	-1.50
Jonas Valanciunas	33	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	10	-13	14.7	12.6	2.12	14.4	14.2	0.17
CJ McCollum	68	69	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.23	-11	18	-29	14.5	10.9	3.65	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Brandon Ingram	74	74	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.30	-15	22	-37	14.0	11.4	2.55	13.8	15.6	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.54,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.59,0.67,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.78,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%
UTA 112, LAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1	92.3%
PHI 91, BKN 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.57,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.83,0.97,0.94,1,1	91.1%