NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	113		Excitement	7.1 [410]		MVP	Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): +17.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	121		Comeback	1.4 [563]		LVP	Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU): -16.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Holiday	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.10	0.05	0.09	13	73%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.04	0.03	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Nate Hinton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	5	77%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Amen Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	17	51%	0.11	2	-0.09	3	33%	-0.04
Nate Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.02	16	49%	0.04	1	-0.07	7	29%	-0.07
Jalen Green	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Dillon Brooks	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.00	-0.05	0.04	17	46%	-0.09	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.14	-0.06	-0.04	13	23%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.12	-0.03	12	69%	0.27	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.07	0.03	15	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.02	0.05	7	90%	0.15	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	8	64%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	6	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	4	100%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	12	83%	0.05
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	35.6	15.4	29.5	2.5	34.2	142.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +62.4%

MEM +7.4%

HOU -26.7%

MEM +1.8%

MEM +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	14.4	14.2	14.5	111.9	121.0	113.9
season	14.2	14.8		113.2	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.6		113.2	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.7	13.1	13.5	14.9	14.4
MEM	16.0	14.1	14.8	12.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	36	33	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.10	2	-10	12	14.4	14.5	-0.04	14.4	14.1	0.23
Nate Hinton	36	35	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.29	13	-21	34	13.2	15.2	-1.99	12.7	15.0	-2.26
Nate Williams	6	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-3	-2	18.2	14.2	3.96	8.6	14.5	-5.91
Jae'Sean Tate	34	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.19	-11	3	-14	14.3	14.5	-0.23	12.3	15.1	-2.74
Jalen Green	44	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-5	2	15.1	13.9	1.18	16.2	12.6	3.60
Dillon Brooks	75	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-7	6	13.9	16.0	-2.15	14.6	12.7	1.91
Amen Thompson	68	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	5	-18	15.1	13.1	1.97	14.9	12.8	2.03
Aaron Holiday	66	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	6	-20	14.3	14.6	-0.28	13.0	16.4	-3.40
Alperen Sengun	68	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.33	-6	-2	-4	15.0	13.2	1.79	14.7	12.9	1.85
Jabari Smith Jr.	72	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.49	-2	-6	4	14.0	15.7	-1.70	14.3	14.0	0.25

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Goodwin	51	53	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.28	10	-2	12	12.6	15.9	-3.31	14.7	14.2	0.45
Jaren Jackson Jr.	58	58	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	-1	10	13.8	14.7	-0.87	14.9	13.9	0.98
Ziaire Williams	42	44	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	-4	16	13.4	14.8	-1.43	15.6	13.5	2.07
Lamar Stevens	44	43	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	6	-4	13.5	14.7	-1.19	14.0	14.8	-0.74
Santi Aldama	44	45	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	-3	14	15.5	13.2	2.34	15.3	13.7	1.60
Luke Kennard	64	64	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.37	-4	12	-16	14.5	13.7	0.81	14.0	15.3	-1.30
Derrick Rose	32	32	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.10	10	-2	12	14.0	14.3	-0.31	15.6	13.9	1.73
Vince Williams Jr.	73	73	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.28	-4	12	-16	14.4	13.6	0.85	13.6	16.5	-2.89
GG Jackson	50	51	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	6	-4	14.1	14.4	-0.30	13.8	15.1	-1.26
John Konchar	42	42	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.00	-8	16	-24	16.3	12.7	3.66	13.8	14.9	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.78,0.94,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%
ATL 103, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.79,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.98,1	92.3%
MEM 107, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.92,1	91.8%