inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 127 Excitement10.5 [54] MVPPascal Siakam (IND): +27.7%
Toronto Raptors 125 Comeback4.0 [377] LVPRJ Barrett (TOR): -24.6%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pascal Siakam0.280,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.280.080.20-0.001753%0.2800.00967%-0.06
Obi Toppin0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.130.100.01975%0.2200.00250%-0.01
Ben Sheppard0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.190.050.140.00671%0.251-0.062100%0.01
Tyrese Haliburton0.160,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.160.120.060.011368%0.181-0.02580%0.02
Andrew Nembhard0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.09-0.010.00874%0.161-0.08367%-0.03
Doug McDermott0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.03-0.01-0.031254%0.081-0.0400%0.00
Oscar Tshiebwe0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Aaron Nesmith0.000,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.001040%0.0000.0000%0.00
Isaiah Jackson-0.010,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,-0.010.02-0.030.001354%0.011-0.02250%-0.03
T.J. McConnell-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.00837%-0.033-0.0900%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Boucher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.060.190.00571%0.2600.00450%-0.05
Immanuel Quickley0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.050.001156%0.111-0.023100%0.02
Ochai Agbaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.001150%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.06,0.010.010.05-0.04-0.001556%0.122-0.11475%0.03
Jordan Nwora0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.0310%0.0100.0000%0.00
Gradey Dick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.00750%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.05-0.00960%0.041-0.052100%0.01
Scottie Barnes0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.09,-0.09-0.090.01-0.12-0.012259%0.186-0.265100%0.03
Gary Trent Jr.0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1-0.100.01-0.100.01944%-0.1000.0000%0.00
RJ Barrett0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.25-0.250.02-0.240.031755%-0.163-0.09850%-0.14
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.31.028.214.427.62.532.2133.3
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +68.4%
IND +0.2%
TOR -41.6%
IND +26.2%
TOR -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDTORNBAINDTORNBA
this game14.612.614.5118.7119.0113.9
season13.814.0120.0111.3
opponent14.714.7117.6117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.014.814.415.214.6
TOR11.811.712.314.812.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Sheppard47460.69-0.190.870.458-61414.914.30.6412.312.8-0.55
Andrew Nembhard70710.67-0.170.830.525-3813.816.0-2.1713.410.82.67
Isaiah Jackson69690.64-0.140.780.466-41014.315.2-0.9013.211.41.71
Tyrese Haliburton75740.57-0.070.640.5120213.916.1-2.1213.410.72.69
Pascal Siakam79770.51-0.010.530.54-13-414.614.40.2512.512.8-0.29
Obi Toppin5856-0.040.54-0.59-0.1020214.914.20.7312.013.2-1.15
Doug McDermott5351-0.070.57-0.63-0.153-1415.313.91.3911.613.5-1.91
T.J. McConnell3937-0.130.63-0.77-0.04-35-816.013.82.1910.813.6-2.80
Aaron Nesmith3937-0.150.65-0.810.02-68-1414.114.9-0.7512.812.40.41
Oscar Tshiebwe67-0.180.68-0.850.00-68-1415.814.51.3312.112.6-0.46

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Boucher22210.16-0.660.830.083-5813.212.40.7717.613.83.72
Jordan Nwora990.06-0.560.620.060-2213.412.50.9518.814.24.58
Ochai Agbaji14140.05-0.550.60-0.012-468.513.2-4.7013.714.7-1.00
Gradey Dick47480.03-0.530.56-0.001-3411.913.1-1.2315.513.81.71
Kelly Olynyk1618-0.01-0.490.470.01-1-109.113.2-4.1414.814.50.24
Bruce Brown5759-0.09-0.410.320.11-75-1212.213.0-0.7115.513.42.15
Gary Trent Jr.6567-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.432-4612.912.00.8814.015.6-1.67
Scottie Barnes8081-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.472-4611.914.8-2.9214.315.5-1.17
Immanuel Quickley7778-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.543-5813.410.42.9714.415.0-0.53
Jakob Poeltl6567-0.550.05-0.59-0.49-20-213.311.41.8113.815.9-2.19
RJ Barrett7373-0.910.41-1.31-0.52-1311-2413.510.43.1613.716.4-2.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 82, MIL 790.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.04,091.6%
DEN 93, SAS 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.16,091.4%
UTA 111, ATL 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.29,0.1,0.04,091.3%