NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	8.6 [204]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +25.1%
Atlanta Hawks	106		Comeback	3.5 [543]		LVP	Cam Reddish (ATL): -13.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.25	0.06	0.18	-0.01	22	61%	0.39	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.03
Joe Ingles	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.01	10	64%	0.17	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	9	54%	0.12	3	-0.06	19	53%	-0.04
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Royce O'Neale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.06	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Georges Niang	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	16	49%	-0.01	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	16	68%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	13	61%	0.15	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	28	45%	0.04	2	-0.03	11	82%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	-0.04	6	42%	-0.02	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.00	-0.12	0.02	10	58%	0.04	3	-0.17	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	27.5	15.3	31.6	2.4	30.6	136.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +20.5%

UTA +13.2%

UTA +18.0%

ATL -6.0%

UTA +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	14.4	12.5	14.2	104.7	98.1	109.6
season	14.9	13.8		112.1	106.6
opponent	14.0	14.2		113.9	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.5	15.4	11.4	15.7	14.4
ATL	12.2	11.8	13.9	12.0	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royce O'Neale	67	68	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.39	15	-10	25	13.8	15.6	-1.83	12.3	12.8	-0.56
Rudy Gobert	84	85	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.34	16	-11	27	14.1	15.6	-1.52	12.4	12.7	-0.25
Bojan Bogdanovic	84	85	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.34	16	-11	27	14.1	15.6	-1.52	12.4	12.7	-0.25
Joe Ingles	83	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-3	11	14.4	14.5	-0.06	12.1	13.6	-1.47
Donovan Mitchell	80	82	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.37	0	5	-5	14.1	15.5	-1.36	12.5	12.5	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	39	41	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	1	3	15.0	14.1	0.85	13.2	12.1	1.16
Ed Davis	22	23	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.01	-11	16	-27	15.6	14.1	1.52	12.7	12.4	0.25
Georges Niang	36	39	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.00	-12	17	-29	15.9	13.7	2.16	12.9	12.3	0.58
Jeff Green	35	35	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.06	-11	16	-27	15.2	14.1	1.14	12.6	12.5	0.15

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre' Bembry	48	44	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-11	17	12.5	12.5	-0.04	13.9	14.8	-0.98
Allen Crabbe	49	48	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-5	5	13.2	11.9	1.33	15.4	13.7	1.68
Evan Turner	21	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-4	3	12.1	12.6	-0.50	13.0	14.7	-1.75
Jabari Parker	54	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-6	7	11.9	13.1	-1.11	14.5	14.3	0.21
Bruno Fernando	36	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	13.4	12.0	1.42	14.6	14.3	0.25
Alex Len	37	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	2	-9	12.9	12.3	0.64	14.5	14.4	0.08
Cam Reddish	79	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-6	7	12.3	12.9	-0.59	14.6	13.9	0.74
Trae Young	93	92	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	1	-7	12.1	15.1	-2.98	14.5	14.0	0.50
De'Andre Hunter	50	52	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.30	-10	5	-15	12.6	12.4	0.19	14.5	14.3	0.21
Kevin Huerter	73	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.49	-5	0	-5	12.5	12.5	0.02	14.0	15.4	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.29,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 106, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.44,0.11,0,0,0	92.3%
BOS 96, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.36,0.53,0.39,0.46,0.15,0.04,0	91.8%
IND 100, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.16,0.05,0.01,0	91.4%