NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	6.7 [483]		MVP	Seth Curry (CHA): +30.5%
Charlotte Hornets	111		Comeback	2.2 [156]		LVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): -11.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Nesmith	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.02	13	64%	0.19	2	-0.02	7	57%	-0.04
Pascal Siakam	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	12	69%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	13	71%	0.15	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Andrew Nembhard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ben Sheppard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	15	43%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.14	0.17	-0.00	11	75%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.08	-0.02	17	57%	0.21	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Nick Richards	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	6	87%	0.19	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.03	12	66%	0.15	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.00
Brandon Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cody Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	69%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.09	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	29.4	15.3	21.6	2.5	27.6	124.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +39.5%

CHA +11.3%

CHA +21.7%

IND -24.8%

CHA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHA	NBA	IND	CHA	NBA
this game	13.5	15.1	14.5	101.0	111.0	113.9
season	13.8	14.8		120.1	108.3
opponent	14.5	14.7		118.7	117.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.1	12.9	13.6	13.7	13.5
CHA	13.6	14.8	14.7	17.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Haliburton	71	71	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.25	10	-19	29	12.9	15.2	-2.31	16.2	12.4	3.81
Andrew Nembhard	69	69	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.23	8	-17	25	12.8	15.2	-2.36	16.2	12.6	3.63
Myles Turner	66	66	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.20	6	-15	21	12.4	15.7	-3.36	16.3	12.9	3.43
Ben Sheppard	5	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-6	3	16.2	13.4	2.79	16.6	15.0	1.56
Bennedict Mathurin	32	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-2	-5	14.8	12.9	1.90	13.4	15.9	-2.50
Doug McDermott	18	17	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	3	-15	15.0	13.2	1.77	10.8	16.0	-5.25
Aaron Nesmith	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-7	5	12.9	14.8	-1.90	15.9	13.4	2.50
Obi Toppin	36	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-1	-7	14.4	13.0	1.40	13.5	16.0	-2.45
Pascal Siakam	72	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	13.2	14.3	-1.12	15.7	13.5	2.19
Isaiah Jackson	35	34	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	6	-21	15.7	12.4	3.36	12.9	16.3	-3.43
T.J. McConnell	32	31	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	8	-25	15.2	12.8	2.36	12.6	16.2	-3.63

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Williams	64	64	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-5	19	14.9	15.4	-0.51	13.8	13.1	0.65
Seth Curry	38	39	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-6	21	14.1	15.7	-1.64	15.6	12.3	3.29
Tre Mann	70	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-1	11	14.9	15.7	-0.88	13.6	13.4	0.16
Brandon Miller	58	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	4	1	16.2	13.7	2.51	13.8	13.1	0.73
Vasilije Micic	44	46	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	0	9	13.7	16.2	-2.45	13.8	13.3	0.52
Nick Richards	54	56	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	6	-3	15.3	14.9	0.38	14.0	13.0	0.94
Miles Bridges	82	82	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	8	-7	15.1	15.0	0.15	13.1	15.6	-2.51
Cody Martin	64	63	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	13	-17	15.8	14.0	1.79	12.3	15.6	-3.35
Davis Bertans	26	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	17	-25	15.7	14.9	0.77	12.2	14.0	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.53,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 85, CHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.3%
LAC 112, BOS 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.8,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.96,1	93.2%
NJN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.1%