NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	112		Excitement	7.5 [340]		MVP	Reggie Jackson (LAC): +27.1%
Boston Celtics	117		Comeback	2.2 [309]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -9.7%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jackson	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.17	0.10	0.00	14	89%	0.34	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	6	67%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09	0.12	-0.05	-0.02	26	58%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.04	3	80%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Luke Kennard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	43%	0.05	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	9	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.12	-0.00	8	87%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.06	-0.02	19	60%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	2	125%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	5	72%	0.17	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.04
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	14	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	7	45%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	59%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	16	40%	-0.02	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.5	27.5	15.4	27.4	2.8	42.3	142.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +16.2%

BOS +15.2%

BOS +18.3%

BOS +3.6%

LAC -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BOS	NBA	LAC	BOS	NBA
this game	16.0	15.6	14.4	121.7	130.0	111.3
season	14.9	14.5		116.6	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.7		111.9	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.8	15.8	16.9	16.8	16.0
BOS	13.9	15.5	18.3	15.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	45	46	0.36	-0.86	1.22	-0.26	21	-26	47	16.8	15.2	1.57	18.7	12.4	6.33
Serge Ibaka	51	50	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.19	14	-19	33	15.8	16.2	-0.35	17.3	13.6	3.63
Marcus Morris Sr.	31	30	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-7	9	15.1	16.5	-1.36	15.4	15.7	-0.32
Paul George	71	67	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.26	6	-11	17	16.8	13.4	3.33	16.8	12.2	4.66
Nicolas Batum	56	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-6	7	16.7	14.9	1.78	16.6	14.2	2.46
Luke Kennard	10	11	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	1	-7	16.7	15.9	0.79	12.9	16.0	-3.12
Reggie Jackson	72	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	5	-15	15.7	16.9	-1.21	15.4	16.6	-1.23
Terance Mann	36	35	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.04	-18	13	-31	14.5	16.9	-2.42	13.6	17.0	-3.39
Lou Williams	47	47	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.24	-16	11	-27	15.2	16.8	-1.57	12.5	19.1	-6.56
Ivica Zubac	41	40	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.16	-19	14	-33	16.2	15.8	0.35	13.6	17.3	-3.63

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Semi Ojeleye	55	55	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-6	17	14.6	17.3	-2.73	15.1	17.3	-2.12
Robert Williams III	46	43	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	2	1	14.7	16.6	-1.90	15.2	16.7	-1.48
Kemba Walker	61	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	-1	7	15.8	15.3	0.49	17.0	13.9	3.07
Jeff Teague	27	27	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	-1	7	14.5	16.1	-1.66	14.6	16.6	-1.94
Jayson Tatum	73	74	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	8	-11	16.3	12.9	3.41	16.2	15.0	1.24
Payton Pritchard	47	47	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	0	5	15.1	16.2	-1.04	15.1	16.9	-1.78
Jaylen Brown	62	65	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	4	-3	15.6	15.7	-0.10	16.0	16.0	-0.05
Tristan Thompson	36	39	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.01	1	4	-3	16.9	14.8	2.17	17.0	15.3	1.69
Daniel Theis	43	47	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.01	-5	10	-15	16.9	14.5	2.42	16.9	15.0	1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.8,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 85, CHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.2%
PHI 71, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.0%
CHA 93, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	92.9%