NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	85		Excitement	7.1 [433]		MVP	Steve Francis (NYK): +20.1%
Chicago Bulls	102		Comeback	1.7 [866]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -41.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.12	-0.02	10	58%	0.23	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Malik Rose	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.04	15	63%	0.15	4	-0.13	8	50%	-0.06
Mardy Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.02	5	64%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.06
Jerome James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
David Lee	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	9	64%	0.07	6	-0.22	4	50%	-0.03
Stephon Marbury	-0.42	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.38,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42	-0.24	-0.17	0.00	13	22%	-0.22	5	-0.20	6	50%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.14	0.04	10	75%	0.22	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	18	55%	0.16	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	9	70%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	11	46%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Viktor Khryapa	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	0.00	6	47%	0.06	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.05
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.05	0.03	11	42%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	11	48%	0.02	4	-0.16	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	33.4	15.6	27.3	2.5	30.2	135.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +12.8%

CHI +4.8%

CHI +13.2%

CHI +18.8%

CHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	15.2	15.4	88.5	105.2	104.5
season	15.7	14.5		103.7	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		98.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	13.7	14.7	14.6	14.6
CHI	17.1	14.5	13.5	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	14.7	14.6	0.02	19.0	15.1	3.88
Jerome James	9	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-15	13	17.6	14.3	3.21	17.2	14.9	2.25
David Lee	75	75	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.12	-8	-9	1	14.3	16.0	-1.73	15.0	16.0	-1.04
Renaldo Balkman	48	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-11	5	14.7	14.5	0.21	14.5	15.8	-1.33
Malik Rose	18	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-14	11	16.2	14.3	1.87	17.3	14.6	2.65
Nate Robinson	21	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-6	-5	13.7	14.9	-1.19	13.6	15.7	-2.14
Stephon Marbury	79	79	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	0.06	-14	-3	-11	15.1	12.6	2.43	15.5	14.0	1.47
Steve Francis	84	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-5	-7	14.9	12.8	2.07	15.1	16.1	-1.01
Jamal Crawford	59	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-5	-7	14.0	15.6	-1.63	15.8	14.2	1.58
Eddy Curry	84	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	-1	-15	14.3	17.1	-2.79	14.8	17.2	-2.39

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	54	54	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.00	21	-4	25	15.4	14.9	0.48	14.7	14.6	0.05
Ben Gordon	70	68	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.01	20	-3	23	15.0	15.6	-0.60	14.6	14.7	-0.10
Chris Duhon	74	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.05	21	-4	25	15.0	15.9	-0.88	14.8	14.1	0.66
Ben Wallace	79	77	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	5	7	15.0	16.2	-1.19	14.5	15.2	-0.64
Luol Deng	58	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	9	-1	14.7	15.9	-1.17	15.1	13.9	1.20
Malik Allen	23	23	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	6	5	15.8	15.0	0.83	15.7	14.3	1.44
Kirk Hinrich	69	67	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	13	-9	15.4	14.7	0.68	14.3	15.3	-1.00
Viktor Khryapa	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	19.0	15.1	3.88	14.7	14.6	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	19.0	15.1	3.88	14.7	14.6	0.02
Adrian Griffin	5	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	21	-25	21.0	14.9	6.12	17.8	14.5	3.33
Andres Nocioni	41	39	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	22	-27	14.7	15.5	-0.80	14.6	14.7	-0.05
Tyrus Thomas	8	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.00	-5	22	-27	16.1	15.1	1.01	9.3	15.2	-5.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 91, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.79,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
IND 92, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.77,0.94,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%
LAC 101, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.0%