NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	91		Excitement	6.7 [496]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +20.3%
Denver Nuggets	107		Comeback	2.1 [792]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (SAC): -11.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.04	0.00	18	65%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Brad Miller	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.05	-0.03	11	52%	0.13	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.04
Kevin Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.03	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Sampson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.01	13	58%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.07
Bonzi Wells	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	32%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	13	62%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.07	0.04	10	75%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	61%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.04	13	55%	0.10	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	13	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	10	39%	-0.02	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	3.5	29.2	17.8	28.5	3.0	36.2	146.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +18.1%

DEN +1.0%

DEN +23.0%

DEN +5.5%

DEN +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DEN	NBA	SAC	DEN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.6	98.9	116.3	104.4
season	15.3	14.4		104.7	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		103.5	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.6	15.5	16.0	17.3	15.7
DEN	14.2	11.6	16.7	21.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Sampson	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	11.5	15.8	-4.31	27.7	15.2	12.49
Ronnie Price	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	11.5	15.8	-4.31	27.7	15.2	12.49
Corliss Williamson	16	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-12	8	17.1	15.4	1.70	11.0	16.5	-5.48
Bonzi Wells	53	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-13	10	16.4	14.8	1.56	14.5	17.0	-2.50
Brad Miller	58	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-12	8	15.4	16.2	-0.73	15.3	16.1	-0.75
Mike Bibby	69	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-10	4	15.4	16.8	-1.42	15.0	17.4	-2.46
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	70	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	-7	-2	15.2	17.2	-1.98	16.1	13.8	2.36
Brian Skinner	17	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-8	0	16.5	15.5	0.92	17.9	15.0	2.97
Jason Hart	23	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-6	-4	16.8	15.4	1.42	17.4	15.0	2.46
Kenny Thomas	26	23	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-7	-2	16.5	15.4	1.14	12.4	16.6	-4.20
Peja Stojakovic	78	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-2	-12	15.6	16.6	-1.09	16.2	12.4	3.81
Kevin Martin	46	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.05	-13	-3	-10	15.4	16.0	-0.57	15.9	15.3	0.55

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	51	53	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.01	21	-5	26	15.0	16.3	-1.36	15.7	15.8	-0.09
Greg Buckner	25	27	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	3	10	14.2	16.1	-1.96	14.7	16.2	-1.49
Kenyon Martin	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	5	6	17.3	13.1	4.23	16.7	14.4	2.30
Eduardo Najera	49	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	3	10	15.0	16.2	-1.17	15.5	15.9	-0.40
DerMarr Johnson	40	39	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	5	6	17.1	14.4	2.63	16.2	15.4	0.76
Andre Miller	67	66	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	8	0	15.4	16.1	-0.68	15.4	16.5	-1.09
Carmelo Anthony	63	63	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	9	-2	15.2	16.4	-1.21	16.1	14.8	1.30
Marcus Camby	74	73	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	12	-8	15.4	16.6	-1.20	15.1	18.2	-3.14
Voshon Lenard	37	36	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.02	-8	24	-32	15.4	15.7	-0.30	16.1	15.5	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.79,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 85, CHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.6%
MIN 94, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	92.7%
ORL 111, SAS 122	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1	92.5%