inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 111 Excitement6.7 [369] MVPTiago Splitter (SAS): +23.6%
San Antonio Spurs 122 Comeback2.4 [626] LVPMatt Bonner (SAS): -4.7%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Duhon0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.060.070.00387%0.1400.002100%0.01
Jameer Nelson0.120,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.21-0.030.051578%0.1200.002100%0.01
Ryan Anderson0.100,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.10.110.000.011561%0.1000.001100%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.03-0.011652%0.101-0.021100%0.01
Quentin Richardson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.00383%0.0600.0000%0.00
DeAndre Liggins0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.04-0.00475%0.111-0.0500%0.00
Dwight Howard0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.021652%0.103-0.081040%-0.09
Glen Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
JJ Redick-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01837%-0.011-0.0200%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.080.13-0.02586%0.241-0.004100%0.04
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.080.12-0.021070%0.241-0.0200%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.160.160.130.090.072166%0.223-0.075100%0.01
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.10.100.120.000.035100%0.1000.002100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.10-0.010.031262%0.0700.001070%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.01450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00658%0.0300.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.001042%0.0100.00683%0.02
James Anderson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.020.00750%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.030.00350%-0.001-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.027.315.622.22.432.4130.3
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +10.3%
SAS +14.7%
SAS +13.4%
SAS +9.8%
SAS +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLSASNBAORLSASNBA
this game15.615.715.6119.4134.1102.8
season16.215.3102.8109.1
opponent15.215.8101.5103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.115.915.816.615.6
SAS14.716.116.216.115.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeAndre Liggins23240.03-0.530.560.09-2-9715.515.6-0.0515.216.0-0.79
Hedo Turkoglu7371-0.16-0.340.17-0.191-121315.714.90.7816.313.72.56
Ryan Anderson6565-0.23-0.270.03-0.21-1-10916.214.02.2816.314.32.02
Chris Duhon3231-0.24-0.260.03-0.00-8-3-516.315.21.1514.216.5-2.36
Jameer Nelson6160-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.18-3-8515.216.3-1.1516.514.22.36
Glen Davis3636-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.04-8-3-516.415.01.4014.916.3-1.47
Quentin Richardson3029-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.00-10-1-915.615.50.0615.116.0-0.94
JJ Redick6865-0.510.01-0.53-0.19-110-1114.917.4-2.4615.616.1-0.46
Dwight Howard7774-0.540.04-0.59-0.16-132-1515.018.2-3.2515.716.0-0.31

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kawhi Leonard58600.58-0.080.660.0219-82715.316.5-1.2515.915.00.87
Gary Neal28280.420.080.330.091101114.416.3-1.9016.815.01.75
Tiago Splitter35370.370.130.240.08101914.116.8-2.7015.915.30.64
Tony Parker68700.320.180.130.1756-116.413.92.5115.515.7-0.12
Manu Ginobili43450.300.200.11-0.021101115.216.2-1.0615.315.8-0.48
Matt Bonner37390.210.29-0.08-0.08101914.316.7-2.4415.415.7-0.26
Richard Jefferson61620.170.33-0.150.23-213-1516.414.42.0115.216.2-1.00
James Anderson440.090.41-0.32-0.0965114.215.8-1.5717.215.51.77
Tim Duncan58580.070.43-0.360.16-314-1716.813.92.8815.415.9-0.48
DeJuan Blair22210.030.47-0.440.09-213-1516.915.41.4715.915.50.38
Danny Green4141-0.050.55-0.610.24-1021-3116.615.01.6114.816.1-1.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 88, LAL 1060.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.81,0.62,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.8,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,193.2%
SAC 91, DEN 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.79,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,192.5%
HOU 81, LAC 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.98,1,192.5%